Toncoin Breakout Faces No Resistance, But a Rally to $7 Does

2 mins
Updated by Harsh Notariya
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In Brief

  • Toncoin is poised to break the $5.83 resistance, with weak demand at this level, but could face challenges beyond $6.00.
  • Strong support between $5.48 and $5.65 should prevent major drops, but a 31% decline in active addresses signals waning investor interest.
  • Breaching $5.96 may push TON to $6.36, but failure could keep it consolidated above the $5.49 support floor.
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Toncoin (TON) is approaching the critical psychological price level of $6.00, with market momentum supporting its rise. 

However, while reaching $6.00 appears achievable, a rally beyond this point may encounter resistance, potentially slowing down any further price growth for the altcoin.

Toncoin Price Is Bullish; Investors Are Not

Toncoin is likely to break out above the $5.83 barrier, as there is minimal resistance at this point. According to the In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) data, only 40 million TON, worth approximately $226 million, was purchased around this price, indicating weak demand. 

On the other hand, the support between $5.48 and $5.65 is stronger, where about 628 million TON, worth $3.6 billion, was bought. This suggests that the zone will act as a solid support floor if prices face downward pressure.

With relatively little resistance to the upside, Toncoin may breach $5.83 with ease. However, to maintain its upward momentum, TON will need continued investor confidence and strong demand.

Read more: What Are Telegram Bot Coins?

Toncoin IOMAP
Toncoin IOMAP. Source: IntoTheBlock

However, the broader macro momentum shows signs of concern. Active addresses on the Toncoin network have dropped by 31% in the last 11 days, decreasing from 3.5 million to 2.4 million. This decline in participation suggests that investors may be pulling back due to fears of volatility, which could slow Toncoin’s rally.

This reduced participation could signal waning investor confidence in the short term. While the support floor remains strong, the pullback in active addresses may limit TON’s ability to sustain a long-term rally.

Toncoin Active Addresses.
Toncoin Active Addresses. Source: IntoTheBlock

TON Price Prediction: Trying Its Best

Toncoin is currently trading at $5.77, aiming to break above the key $5.96 resistance level. If this barrier is breached, TON could rise to $6.00, marking a near-monthly high for the altcoin.

However, while a move above $5.96 seems likely, breaking past the next resistance at $6.36 could prove challenging. Flipping $6.36 into support is crucial for Toncoin to target $7.00, although this price point remains a longer-term goal.

Read more: What Are Telegram Bot Coins?

Toncoin Price Analysis.
Toncoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If investors begin taking profits at the current price levels, TON may fail to break above $5.96. This would invalidate the bullish outlook and keep Toncoin consolidated above the critical $5.49 support floor, limiting further upward movement.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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