Trusted

XLM Downturn Looms: MACD Crossover and Negative Sentiment Raise Red Flags

2 mins
Updated by Ann Maria Shibu
Join our Trading Community on Telegram

In Brief

  • Stellar's XLM faces downward pressure with a bearish MACD crossover signaling weak buy-side momentum and potential price decline.
  • On-chain sentiment has turned negative, amplifying the likelihood of further losses as investors express skepticism about XLM's near-term outlook.
  • XLM trades at $0.43, and if the negative sentiment intensifies, the price could drop to $0.39. A resurgence in demand may trigger a rebound.
  • promo

Stellar’s XLM faces increasing downward pressure after a lackluster performance in the past week. 

Technical indicators are flashing warning signs, with a key momentum indicator forming a bearish crossover. This signals weakening buy-side momentum and the potential for an extended decline.

XLM Bears Take Control: Technical and Social Metrics Align for Further Losses

An assessment of the XLM/USD one-day chart reveals that the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator formed a bearish crossover on July 24.

This occurs when an asset’s MACD line (blue) breaks below the signal line (orange). It happens when short-term momentum weakens and dips below the longer-term trend. It often marks the beginning of a downtrend or a period of sideways consolidation.

For token TA and market updates: Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

XLM MACD.
XLM MACD. Source: TradingView

Since the crossover emerged, XLM has mostly traded within a narrow range, facing persistent resistance around $0.44 while finding support at $0.41. This price action reflects a clear loss of bullish momentum and confirms the current period of low trading activity and indecision among market participants. 

The lack of strong directional movement reinforces the bearish outlook for the altcoin, especially if support at $0.40 begins to weaken.

Furthermore, on-chain sentiment around XLM has also turned notably negative, amplifying the likelihood of a continued price slide. According to Santiment, the token’s weighted sentiment stands at -0.179, adding to the bearish pressures on its price.

XLM Weighted Sentiment.
XLM Weighted Sentiment. Source: Santiment

An asset’s weighted sentiment measures its overall positive or negative bias, considering both the volume of social media mentions and the sentiment expressed in those mentions. 

When it is negative, it is a bearish signal, as investors are increasingly skeptical about the token’s near-term outlook. This prompts them to trade less, exacerbating the price decline.

One Push Could Send It to $0.39 or Trigger a Rebound

XLM trades at $0.43 at press time, down 2% amid the broader market pullback. If negative sentiment strengthens and new demand remains absent, the altcoin could break out of its narrow range and fall to $0.39.

XLM Price Analysis
XLM Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, a resurgence in bullish sentiment could prevent this from happening. If buying activity resumes, XLM could reverse its current course, break resistance at $0.44, and rally toward $0.45.

Best crypto platforms in Europe
Best crypto platforms in Europe
Best crypto platforms in Europe

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

Untitled-1.png
Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a Technical and On-Chain Analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
READ FULL BIO
Sponsored
Sponsored