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Is the SPX6900 (SPX) Rally Over or Potential Rebound Awaits?

2 mins
Updated by Mohammad Shahid
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In Brief

  • SPX drops 22% in a week, trading at $1.30, with bearish signals from technical indicators.
  • The Smart Money Index (SMI) shows consistent selling, suggesting more downside risk for SPX.
  • SPX faces a potential drop to $1.19 if support at $1.27 fails, but a rebound to $1.51 is possible if accumulation increases.
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Meme coin SPX has tumbled 22% over the past week to trade at $1.30 at press time, raising concerns about further downside risks. 

Technical indicators suggest that capital is flowing out of the market, hinting that the token could face even steeper declines soon.

SPX Dips as Traders Reduce Exposure

Readings from the SPX/USD one-day chart show a steady dip in the token’s Smart Money Index (SMI) since August 10. As of this writing, it sits at 2.16. 

Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

SPX SMI.
SPX SMI. Source: TradingView

Smart money refers to experienced investors or institutions such as hedge funds, venture capitalists, and professional traders who are believed to have better insights than the average retail investor. 

The SMI tracks the behavior of these investors by analyzing intraday price movements.  Specifically, it measures selling in the morning (when retail traders dominate) versus buying in the afternoon (when institutions are more active). 

A rising SMI signals that smart money is accumulating an asset, often ahead of major price moves. On the other hand, when this indicator falls, key holders of an asset are distributing their tokens. 

This indicates that SPX could face even steeper declines soon if these investors keep selling. 

Moreover, SPX’s Parabolic Stop and Reverse (SAR) currently forms dynamic resistance above its price at $1.93, lending credence to the bearish outlook above.

SPX Parabolic SAR
SPX Parabolic SAR. Source: TradingView

The Parabolic SAR indicator identifies an asset’s potential trend direction and reversals. When its dots are placed under an asset’s price, the market is in an uptrend. It indicates that an asset is witnessing bullish momentum, and its price could continue to rally if buying persists. 

On the other hand, when the dots lie above an asset’s price, selling pressure is dominant. Traders often interpret this as a sell signal as it hints at a possible continuation of downward momentum.

SPX Could Slide to $1.19 if Selling Persists

SPX trades at $1.30 at press time, hanging above support formed at $1.27. If the decline deepens, the support floor could give way to a fall to $1.19.

SPX Price Analysis.
SPX Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, a spike in accumulation could drive a rebound toward $1.51. 

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a Technical and On-Chain Analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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