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Solana (SOL) Trends Below Breakout Level as Bears Re-Emerge

2 mins
Updated by Ryan James
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In Brief

  • Solana has witnessed a spike in profit-taking activity in the past few days.
  • Futures market traders have begun to close their positions.
  • Its value may fall to $135 if sentiment continues to be bearish.
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Solana (SOL) trended within a horizontal channel between April 13 and May 15. As buying pressure gained momentum, the bulls initiated a rally above the upper line of this channel, and SOL broke above that level on 16 May.

The surge in demand for the altcoin pushed its price to $187 on May 20, where it peaked. However, it has since trended downward and fallen back below the breakout level of $162.

Solana Price Dip Continues

At press time, Solana (SOL) trades at $154. It has fallen 5% below the breakout level. The altcoin currently trades below its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

This tracks SOL’s average price over the past 20 days. When an asset’s price falls below this key moving average, it means that the asset trades at a level lower than its average price over the past 20 days. This signals a decline in buying pressure and a rally in coin sell-offs. 

Solana Analysis
Solana Analysis. Source: TradingView

Readings from SOL’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) confirmed the surge in selling pressure among market participants. The coin’s MACD line (blue) currently rested below the signal (orange) and trended toward the zero line as of this writing.

This indicator identifies an asset’s price strength, direction, and momentum changes. When the MACD line crosses below the Signal line, it is considered a bearish signal. It suggests that the bears have taken control and will put downward pressure on the asset’s price.

Read More: What Is Solana (SOL)?

Solana Analysis.
Solana Analysis. Source: TradingView

Traders often interpret it as a sign to exit short and take long positions.

SOL Price Prediction: Futures Traders Close Out Positions

The bias is no different amongst the coin’s futures market traders. Since the beginning of June, SOL’s futures open interest has trended down. At $2.2 billion, it has since declined by 15%. 

An asset’s futures open interest tracks the total number of outstanding futures contracts or positions that have not been closed or settled. When it declines in this manner, it suggests an uptick in the number of traders closing their positions without opening new ones.

It is often considered an indicator of a shift in sentiment from bullish to bearish. 

Solana Open Interest. Source: Coinglass
Solana Open Interest. Source: Coinglass

SOL’s negative weighted sentiment confirms this shift. At press time, it was below zero at -0.32. This on-chain metric tracks the overall market sentiment regarding an asset. At this value, SOL’s weighted sentiment suggests that there are more negative mentions than positive mentions surrounding it. 

If this bias remains against the coin and selling pressure gains momentum as a result, its value may drop to $135.

Solana Analysis.
Solana Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if the bulls force a takeover and buying pressure spikes, SOL’s price may rally toward $173.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a seasoned cryptocurrency research journalist with a diverse skill set spanning blockchain analysis, technical research, and content creation. He was a prominent figure at AMBCrypto, where he played a pivotal role in conducting market analysis and technical assessments of various cryptocurrencies and digital assets. His proficiency in utilizing on-chain analytics tools, such as Messari, Santiment, DefiLlama, and Dune Analytics, enabled him to gather and analyze on-chain...
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