The meme coin mania pushed Solana to a new all-time high of $295.83 on January 19. Although SOL’s price has since declined by 22%, investors remain optimistic that it will reclaim this peak in February and surge past it.
In this analysis, BeInCrypto examines the likelihood of a rally back above $290 or an extension of its current downtrend.
Solana Faces Mixed Signals
The rumored launch of Solana futures contracts on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) could propel SOL’s price higher in February.
On January 22, a post briefly surfaced on CME’s website, suggesting that Solana futures could debut as early as February 10, pending regulatory approval. The news triggered a 3% uptick in SOL’s price before CME clarified that the post was made in error, stating that no official decision had been made regarding the launch of futures contracts for the asset.
Despite this clarification, market sentiment remains watchful. Given CME’s history of legitimizing institutional access to cryptocurrencies, any confirmation of Solana’s futures could be a major catalyst for price appreciation, potentially pushing SOL toward its all-time high.
“In February, Solana futures contracts are expected to debut on the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME), and in March, a Solana ETF might receive approval. These developments could generate enough demand to sustain Solana’s upward momentum,” said Julio Moreno, Head of Research at Cryptoquant
There is also widespread hope that a Solana ETF approval might happen soon after its futures contracts are launched.
“A Solana ETF approval would be a major milestone, signaling institutional acceptance and driving long-term capital inflows,” said Daria Morgen, Head of Research at Changelly.
However, these bullish projections could be invalidated by an impending token unlock. According to Tokenomist, Solana is set to release $489.2 million worth of coins in a linear unlock in February, which could exert downward pressure on the market by increasing available supply.
Token unlocks often create uncertainty and fear among investors. Therefore, SOL’s price could dip if the SOL influx is not met with a corresponding demand to absorb the coins.
“One of the biggest concerns for the market is the large-scale token unlocks scheduled throughout 2025 and into 2026. Many altcoins have maintained their value due to a limited circulating supply, but as vested tokens enter the market, it remains to be seen where new demand comes from,” Moreno added.
SOL Price Prediction: Will Coin Sink Below $200?
SOL trades at $231.53 at press time, shedding 9% of its value over the past week. Readings from its Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator highlight the waning demand for the altcoin.
On Tuesday, SOL’s MACD line (blue) crossed below its signal line (orange), confirming the bearish trend. When this indicator is set up this way, it indicates that selling activity exceeds accumulation among market participants, hinting at the possibility of an extended decline.
If this bearish trend strengthens, SOL’s price could drop below $200 to trade at $187.71 over the next few weeks.
However, a resurgence in demand, driven by another meme coin run or the launch of SOL futures contracts, would invalidate this bearish projection. In that scenario, SOL’s price could revisit its all-time high and rally beyond it.
Uphold
Coinbase
eToro
eToro
eToro
eToro
Moonacy
Chain GPT
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
