Solana’s price is cracking. Despite gaining 12% in July, the token has now corrected by more than 7.5% in the past 24 hours, wiping out most of those gains.
The sharp drop has dragged Solana below a crucial support level, breaking down from a bearish pattern that was looming on the daily chart. Traders are now left wondering: Was this just a temporary shakeout, or a sign that bears are tightening their grip?
Active Addresses Collapse As Demand Fades
Daily active addresses on Solana peaked at 4.1 million on July 21, followed by the SOL price surging past $200. This signalled that a strong network activity backed the rally.
But momentum quickly faded. Within two sessions, active addresses dropped by 23.7%, and Solana’s price followed suit, falling to $176. As of now, the count sits around 3.2 million, marking a sustained decline.
This matters because active addresses measure real network demand. Without rising participation, rallies struggle to hold. The latest breakdown below the ascending wedge (pattern revealed later in the post) came as activity kept falling, showing that Solana’s bullish push lacked the support needed to defend key levels.
Shorts Dominate Liquidation Map, Confirming Bearish Bias
The derivatives market shows traders are leaning heavily bearish. This finding aligns with the dip in network activity, rendering the entire price structure weak.
Open short positions now stand at $1.69 billion, while longs trail at just $244 million. Normally, a high short ratio can signal a funding rate play or setups for a squeeze. But with longs so low, this isn’t a game of funding wars; the market is genuinely skewed bearish.
At the same time, the Bull-Bear Power index has been negative for three consecutive sessions, its longest red streak since June. This indicates sellers are firmly in control, pushing price action lower despite occasional attempts to recover.
If, however, Solana bounces sharply and regains momentum above $175–$180 (levels mentioned later in the piece), these heavy shorts could become fuel for a short squeeze, creating a bear trap. For now, though, the pressure is clearly tilted to the downside, and a trap setup doesn’t look likely.
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Solana Price Action Puts $166 In Focus
Technically, the Solana price has broken down from its ascending wedge on the daily chart, snapping a pattern that had supported the July rally. The immediate support level to watch is $166, aligning with the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement zone from the $206 high. Losing this area could open a deeper slide toward $156 or even $143.
To invalidate this bearish scenario, Solana needs three things in quick succession:
- User activity must rebound, signaling stronger demand.
- Price must reclaim $175–$180, forcing shorts to unwind.
- A daily close back inside the broken wedge, restoring the bullish structure.
Only if all these conditions align could this setup morph into a classic bear trap, flipping sentiment back in favor of bulls. Until then, the Solana price remains under heavy pressure, with the risk of more losses ahead.
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