Solana has faced a persistent downtrend over the past month, shaking investor confidence. However, a 24% surge suggests the worst may be over. SOL now trades at $161, hinting at a potential recovery.
Despite this, the risk of selling pressure remains high as short-term holders (STHs) see rising profits.
Solana Finds A Special Spot
The Short-Term Holder Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (STH NUPL) metric indicates that STHs are entering profit territory. This is a critical shift, as it reduces the likelihood of further capitulation. If profits continue rising, investors may choose to hold rather than sell, reinforcing market stability.
Breaching the NUPL threshold could restore confidence among SOL holders. Historically, positive shifts in this metric have opened the altcoin up to potential rallies. If investors resist the urge to sell, Solana could see a sustained uptrend, attracting further capital inflows and improving market sentiment.
Solana’s macro momentum remains strong, backed by the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator. A significant uptick in CMF suggests strong buying pressure, with capital inflows increasing over the past few days. This indicates that investors remain committed to Solana despite recent volatility.
Notably, these inflows began even before Solana’s inclusion in the US Crypto Strategic Reserve. This suggests that institutional and retail investors see long-term value in the asset. Sustained inflows could help Solana maintain its upward trajectory, potentially reversing its recent bearish trend.
SOL Price Is Looking Good.
Solana surged 24% on Monday before retracing, now trading at $161. Holding this level of support is critical. A bounce from here could push SOL toward $183, marking the next resistance level.
Reclaiming $183 as support would set the stage for a move toward $200. This level remains a psychological barrier, and securing it could confirm Solana’s recovery. A strong push past $200 would reinforce bullish momentum, attracting more buyers.
However, failure to break $183 could lead to renewed selling pressure. A drop below $161 would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially reviving Solana’s price’s downtrend, potentially pushing it to $150 or lower to $138.
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Disclaimer
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