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Polkadot (DOT) Network Activity Drops to 2024 Lows: Implications for Price

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Polkadot's network activity hit year-to-date lows in June, with a month-over-month decline in active addresses on its Relay Chain and parachains.
  • Despite the overall drop in users, Polkadot's parachains saw a 10% increase in coin transfers in June compared to May.
  • DOT’s price has dropped by nearly 15% in the past 30 days, with further declines possible if the current trend continues.
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The past month has seen a significant drop in user demand for Polkadot, the leading Layer-0 blockchain. Activity on its Relay Chain and parachains plummeted in June, reaching their lowest levels since the start of the year.

This, combined with the broader market downturn, has caused the value of its native coin, DOT, to drop by nearly 15% over the past 30 days.

Polkadot Users Shun the Network

Polkadot witnessed a significant decline in network activity across its Relay Chain and parachains in June. 

The Relay Chain is the central chain of the Polkadot network, handling the coordination and security of the blockchain. Its parachains are individual blockchains that run parallel and are connected to the Relay Chain. They leverage the Relay Chain’s security and interoperability while operating independently.

During the 30-day period under review, 192,330 unique addresses were active on the Polkadot Relay Chain, either as senders or receivers. 

This marked a 15% month-over-month (MoM) decline from the 225,870 recorded in active addresses in May. Assessed on a year-to-date (YTD) basis, this represented a 37% fall. 

Read More: What Is Polkadot (DOT)?

Polkadot Monthly Active Addresses. Source: The Block
Polkadot Monthly Active Addresses. Source: The Block

New demand for the network also plummeted. In June, the number of unique addresses that appeared for the first time in a transfer on the Polkadot Relay Chain was 34,370, a 22% MoM decline. 

A similar downtrend was observed across Polkadot’s parachains, with total active and new address counts falling by 21% and 25%, respectively, in June.

Interestingly, despite the fall in user count, Polkadot’s parachains recorded more coin transfers in June than they did in May.

Polkadot Monthly Transfers (Parachain). Source: The Block
Polkadot Monthly Transfers (Parachain). Source: The Block

During the 30-day period, monthly transfers across the parachains amounted to 4.3 million, a 10% surge from the 3.9 million transfers registered in May

DOT Price Prediction: Further Declines Lie Ahead

As of this writing, DOT exchanged hands at $5.87. Due to Polkadot’s network activity decline and the general market downturn, the altcoin’s value has dipped by 17% in the past 30 days.

With a sustained decline in DOT’s demand, it might witness a further price drop. According to its Relative Strength Index (RSI), selling activity outweighs accumulation among market participants. At press time, the indicator’s value is 42.32 and declining. 

This indicator measures an asset’s oversold and overbought market conditions. At 42.32, DOT’s RSI signals that market participants favored coin distribution.

If selling pressure continues to mount, the altcoin’s value might fall to $5.36.

Read More: Polkadot (DOT) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Polkadot Analysis.
Polkadot Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if the demand for DOT climbs, it may push its price to $5.92.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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