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PI Token Faces Double Threat: Weak Demand Meets $152 Million Token Unlock

2 mins
Updated by Ann Maria Shibu
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In Brief

  • PI’s price has dropped nearly 20% in the past week, with bearish pressure mounting due to a MACD crossover signaling deeper losses.
  • A significant token unlock event of 312 million PI tokens in the next month could exacerbate the price decline if demand doesn’t increase.
  • PI faces a critical level of support at $0.40, but a rebound could occur if new demand surfaces, targeting a move toward $0.57.
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PI’s price has struggled to maintain upward momentum over the past week, plunging by nearly 20% in the past seven days. 

Trading at $0.48 at press time, the altcoin continues to face intense bearish pressure, with technical and on-chain data reflecting the market’s negative outlook.

Bearish Signals Mount for PI

The fresh bearish crossover on PI’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) suggests the potential for deeper losses in the near term. This pattern emerges when an asset’s MACD line (blue) falls below its signal line (orange), indicating a breakdown in the market’s bullish structure. 

PI Price Prediction
PI Price Prediction. Source: TradingView

The MACD indicator identifies trends and momentum in its price movement. It helps traders spot potential buy or sell signals through crossovers between the MACD and signal lines. 

As is the case with PI, when the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it signals growing bearish momentum and fading buying strength. Traders interpret this setup as a sell signal. If selling activity accelerates as a result, it could intensify the downward pressure on PI’s price.

Furthermore, PI faces a significant token unlock event in the coming month. Data from PiScan shows that 312.29 million PI tokens, valued at $152 million at current prices, will be unlocked over the next 30 days.

Pi Unlock Chart
Pi Unlock Chart. Source: PiScan

This unlock presents a major challenge for the altcoin, especially given the already weak bullish sentiment surrounding PI. With buying interest in the market noticeably low, there is little assurance that the newly unlocked tokens will be absorbed by sufficient demand. 

If demand fails to match the increase in circulating supply, the imbalance could trigger heightened sell pressure. In such a scenario, supply would overwhelmingly outpace demand, putting further downward pressure on PI’s price. 

PI Slides Back Into Decline—Will Buyers Step In Before $0.40?

On the daily chart, PI has slipped back into its descending trendline. It had broken above this trendline on June 25, but the rally proved unsustainable as buying pressure quickly faded, sending the token back into its downtrend.

With bearish momentum continuing to build, PI risks revisiting its all-time low of $0.40.

PI Price Analysis.
PI Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if a surge in new demand emerges, it could help stabilize the price and invalidate the bearish outlook. In that case, PI could rebound and move toward the $0.57 resistance level.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a Technical and On-Chain Analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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