Pepe (PEPE) Reaches Peak Overvaluation, Puts Holders at Risk

2 mins
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • PEPE's NVT ratio spikes 494%, signaling overvaluation and speculative trading following a massive token withdrawal.
  • PEPE sees a 70% volume surge but suffers a 4% price drop, indicating weak buying interest despite high activity.
  • If sentiment shifts, PEPE could rise to $0.000010; otherwise, it risks falling to $0.0000059 due to liquidity exits.
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On-chain data shows meme coin Pepe (PEPE) is at its most overvalued since the start of the year. This follows a whale withdrawing 4 trillion tokens worth $28.40 million from Bybit.

While some may rush for gains, caution is advised.

Pepe Holders Need To Look Before Leaping

PEPE’s Network Value to Transaction (NVT) ratio has soared to its highest level since the beginning of the year. This metric, which compares  PEPE’s market capitalization to the value of its tokens transacted daily, currently sits at 202, having risen by 494% over the past 24 hours. 

An asset’s NVT ratio spike indicates that its market capitalization is increasing faster than the volume of transactions on its network. This signals that the asset is overvalued, and the current market conditions do not support such movements.

pepe nvt ratio
PEPE Network Value to Transaction Ratio. Source: Santiment

The quick increase in PEPE’s NVT ratio over the past 24 hours hints at market speculation. The fact that the ratio spiked after a whale removed over $28 million worth of tokens from an exchange makes this even more likely.

Additionally, the negative divergence between PEPE’s price and trading volume in the past 24 hours reinforces this outlook. PEPE is trading at $0.0000071, down 4%, while its trading volume surged by 70%.

The volume spike without a price increase indicates weak buying interest from PEPE market participants.

Read more: Pepe (PEPE) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

pepe price and trading volume
PEPE Price and Trading Volume. Source: Santiment

PEPE Price Prediction: Can It Lose One Zero?

The declining Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) for PEPE further confirms reduced buying pressure. At present, the CMF, which tracks the flow of capital into and out of the market, is below zero and trending downward, signaling market weakness and increased liquidity exit.

If PEPE holders continue to remove capital from its market, the token’s value will drop to $0.0000059.

Read more: 5 Best Pepe (PEPE) Wallets for Beginners and Experienced Users

pepe price predcition and cmf
PEPE Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if market sentiment improves and demand rises, the meme coin could erase a zero and trade at $0.000010.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment,...
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