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Notcoin (NOT) Forms Bullish Divergence, Faces Challenges Ahead

3 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Though Notcoin price remains under bearish pressure, the rise in money flow presents a buying opportunity.
  • The decline in speculative activity alongside the price trend means NOT could reverse, and begin an upswing toward $0.016.
  • NOT continues to trade below the Ichimoku Cloud, suggesting that the potential breakout will not come easy.
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Notcoin (NOT), the Telegram-based tap-to-earn coin, is muddled in a tricky situation. Some weeks back, the cryptocurrency outperformed crypto heavyweights, including Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL).

Yet, over the last 30 days, it has struggled to maintain the momentum. NOT trades at $0.013, representing a 27.17% decrease within the last month.

Notcoin Bulls Make Moves to Stop Bears

The 4-hour NOT/USD chart shows the cryptocurrency hitting an oversold point on July 1. BeInCrypto found this after analyzing the Money Flow Index (MFI), a technical tool that measures time and price to determine trading pressure.

When it increases, it means that there is buying pressure. However, a decrease implies selling pressure. Also,  a reading below 20.000 means an asset is oversold, while one above 80 means it is overbought. 

On the date mentioned above, the MFI was 17.42. However, as of this writing, the indicator’s reading is 63.31, even though NOT’s price dropped by 4.88% in the last 24 hours. A situation like this is called a bullish divergence.

It happens when price changes indicate a new low, but there is a boost in capital flow. When this occurs, it means selling pressure is subsiding while buyers are capitalizing on the lower values to buy at discount prices.

Read more: 5 Top Notcoin Wallets in 2024

Notcoin sellers exhausted
Notcoin 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

If buyers eventually take over the market, Notcoin’s price may increase as it did between June 11 and 16. Before that period, as shown above, there was a bullish divergence, after which the price went from $0.014 to $0.020 in less than seven days.

While this does not imply that NOT will replicate the same performance, it indicates a notable price increase may be in the works. This could happen within the next five days if validated, and NOT may reach $0.016.

NOT Price Prediction: Will the Roadblock Prevail?

In the past, Open Interest (OI) was one factor that helped NOT sustain its uptrend. As commonly referred to, OI measures speculative activity in the market. An increase in this indicator implies a rise in liquidity allocated to contracts in the derivatives market

On the other hand, a decrease suggests an increase in closed positions. As of this writing, Notcoin’s Open Interest is $143.08 million. Six days ago, the value was $163.60 million, meaning contracts valued at $20 million had been closed.

Notcoin open interest decreases
Notcoin Open Interest. Source: Santiment

For the price, this decrease implies that the downtrend is getting weak, aligning with the MFI indications. But to reverse to the upside, more money has to come into the derivatives market. If this happens, then NOT to $0.016 will begin its move.

Despite the bullish potential, the Ichimoku Cloud shows that NOT may face resistance as it attempts to erase some of its recent losses. The Ichimoku Cloud is a technical tool that measures momentum while gauging trend direction.

If the cloud is above the price, it means the trend is down. But when prices are above the cloud, it indicates an uptrend. As of this writing, the cloud is above NOT’s price, indicating that the cryptocurrency may face some form of resistance in trying to trade higher.

Read more: Tap-to-Earn: What to Know About the Crypto GameFi Trend

Notcoin price faces resistance
Notcoin 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

If successful, the NOT price may reach $0.016 or as high as $0.018 in the short term. However, bearish rejection and a further decline in Open Interest could lead the price to $0.011.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Victor Olanrewaju
Victor Olanrewaju is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he monitors the activities of mid- and large-scale investors, commonly known as crypto whales, to detect investment trends across diverse cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, altcoins such as Solana, XRP, Cardano, and Toncoin, as well as meme coins like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe. Additionally, he covers emerging trends including Tap-to-Earn games, AI tokens, and real-world assets (RWA). Before joining BeInCrypto,...
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