Monero Hard-Fork Update May Be a Case of ‘Buy the Rumor, Sell the News’

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In Brief
  • Monero's new upgrade improves the privacy coin's efficiency.

  • The price dropped slightly after a huge bull run leading up to the update.

  • Atomic Swaps are likely to appear soon as governments crack down on privacy-oriented cryptocurrencies.

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Privacy coin Monero has seen a huge price increase this year, along with a software update via a hard fork and the possibility of Atomic Swaps.

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Monero’s rising price has been screaming for attention for weeks. A planned upgrade to the software appears to have at least partially fueled the excitement.

Monero’s Rise Since March | TradingView

On Oct. 17, Monero released the Oxygen Orion update via a hard fork. This update provides a number of bug fixes, improved security and better performance. Perhaps the most significant of these features is the CLSAG upgrade.

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CLSAG is an upgrade of MLSAG, the ring signature feature of Monero. Ring signatures are a popular cryptographic device used in privacy coins.

Essentially, MLSAG is ring signature technology that allows a user to shield the identity of a transaction by jumbling it up among many signatures. A third party cannot know for sure which transaction came from where because it will appear to have many signatures.

The CSLAG update uses a more efficient version of the ring-signature technology. These transactions will use less memory and will therefore be quicker by 10-20%, according to Monero. What’s more, the CLSAG update has been vetted and audited.

Monero is also likely to add Atomic Swaps to its blockchain, which could also be viewed as bullish by investors.

Price Jump, Price Stumble

Monero has seen an almost 400% gain since March lows, with the past few months being particularly lucrative. The week ending Oct. 11 saw a 23% price increase in Monero. Meanwhile, Zcash, another privacy coin, saw a 17% jump over the same period.

Interestingly, the price of Monero has dropped since Oct. 12, even after the (anticipated) update. The long- term gains are still quite large.

Oct. 15 saw an all-time high in 24-hour volume for Monero, at over $1 billion, according to active community member Monero Trader. A  few events seem to be driving the price jump.

Some of it is regulation. The US Attorney General and Internal Revenue Service have stated that they will be putting cryptocurrencies under more intense scrutiny. Also, the U.S. Department of Homeland Security recently claimed to have been able to unmask Monero users, though that was questioned by the community. Still, there is a $625,000 bounty to anyone who can crack Monero.

Though securely converting Monero to spendable fiat is still an obstacle to privacy, some users are likely seeing the privacy coin as a haven from taxes or law enforcement.

Similarly, in the United States, three BitMEX executives were recently charged with running a derivatives exchange illegally, and China arrested an OKEx exchange executive over possible fraud. This caused a pause in withdrawals from the exchange giant.

Monero has also been caught in the crosshairs of Europol, which has stated the privacy coin is often used for criminal activity.

With many governments opening up to the idea of central bank digital currencies, it is within reason to expect a crypto crackdown.

The Price of Privacy

The old adage, “buy the rumor, sell the news,” seems applicable based on the past few days of Monero trading.

After a huge runup, Monero’s price full before the update | TradingView

Some think the price could be a retracement of an epic bull run.

Tradingview user placton0168 demonstrated through technical analysis that Monero is losing important support.

Monero losing support | Trading View

Meanwhile, Atomic Swaps will allow for cross-chain transactions, making both illegal and legal transactions to fiat or bitcoin simpler.

As the promise of Bitcoin’s anonymity is fading with the start of mainstream adoption, Monero’s privacy features could have more allure than ever.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.
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Harry Leeds is a writer, editor, and journalist who spent much time in the former USSR covering food, cryptocurrencies, and healthcare. He also translates poetry and edits the literary magazine mumbermag.me.

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