Bearish Outlook Grows as Kusama (KSM) Price Breaks Below Support

2 mins
Updated by Geraint Price
Join our Trading Community on Telegram

In Brief

  • KSM is following a descending resistance line
  • It may have created a double bottom pattern
  • KSM is close to completing a five wave downward movement
  • promo

The Kusama (KSM) price could be close to completing its five-wave downward movement, after which a relief rally is expected to occur.

The KSM price has fallen below a descending resistance line since July 2022. The line has caused six rejections (red icons) so far, the most recent on Dec. 30. This led to a minimum price of $20.62 on Jan. 2. 

There is no clear horizontal support below the current price. The main support area was at $24.30, but that has now been broken. So, the next closest support area is created by the 1.61 external Fib retracement at $15.86. 

While there is hope for a potential double bottom (green icons), the pattern has not been combined with bullish divergence in the RSI. On the contrary, the RSI is below 50 and decreasing. 

As a result, the KSM price analysis from the daily time frame is leaning bearish. In turn, this would lead to a bearish KSM price prediction for Jan., suggesting that the future price will drop below $20. 

A breakout above the descending resistance line and the $24.30 resistance area would invalidate this bearish price forecast.

Kusama (KSM) Price Analysis
KSM/USD Daily Chart. Source: TradingView

KSM Price Prediction For Jan: New Lows Before Relief

The technical analysis from the six-hour chart shows that the KSM price is in the process of completing a five-wave downward movement (red). If so, it is currently in wave five. The short-term sub-wave count indicates that the Kusama price is also in sub-wave five (black), which could potentially be completed over the next 24 hours. 

If the count is correct, the Kusama price will fall toward either $20.95 or $17.80. The targets are found using the 1:0.618 and 1:1 projections of waves one and three (red). The latter is also close to the previously outlined Fib support area, so it could be reached if the final downward movement extends. 

However, what follows a five-wave downward movement is usually a sharp retracement. If that occurs, the KSM price will eventually break out from the descending resistance line.

Kusama (KSM) Price Prediction For January
KSM/USD Six-Hour Chart. Source: TradingView

To conclude, the future KSM price movement is unclear. However, due to the relatively bearish short-term price action and wave count, a fall below $20 is the most likely scenario. If this occurs, it would presumably be followed by a relief rally. 

A breakout from the long-term descending resistance line would indicate that the downward movement is complete.

For BeInCrypto’s latest crypto market analysis, click here.

Top crypto projects in the US | October 2024
Exodus Exodus Explore
Coinrule Coinrule Explore
Uphold Uphold Explore
Coinbase Coinbase Explore
Chain GPT Chain GPT Explore
Top crypto projects in the US | October 2024
Exodus Exodus Explore
Coinrule Coinrule Explore
Uphold Uphold Explore
Coinbase Coinbase Explore
Chain GPT Chain GPT Explore
Top crypto projects in the US | October 2024

Trusted

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

Valdrin-Tahiri.jpg
Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
READ FULL BIO
Sponsored
Sponsored