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IOTA (IOTA) Fails to Break Out From Long-Term Pattern

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Written by
Valdrin Tahiri

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Edited by
Ryan Boltman

18 November 2021 17:56 UTC
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  • IOTA is trading inside a long- and short-term symmetrical triangle
  • It is trading in a range between $1.18 and $1.48
  • Technical indicators are neutral.
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IOTA (IOTA) is approaching the end of its pattern, but neither the price action nor technical indicator provide a consensus for the direction of the next movement.

IOTA has been moving downwards since the week of April 12 – 19. The downward movement has been contained inside a symmetrical triangle, which is considered a neutral pattern. Therefore, both a breakout and a breakdown are possible. 

While the support line has only been validated twice (green icons), the resistance line has been validated at least four times (red icons). 

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In addition to the triangle being a neutral pattern, both the MACD and RSI provide a neutral reading. 

The MACD, which is created by a short- and a long-term moving average (MA), is right at the 0 line. This means that the short-term MA is moving at the same speed as the long-term one. 

The RSI, which is a momentum indicator, is right at the 50 line. This is also a sign of a neutral trend. 

Therefore, a look at lower time-frames is required in order to determine the direction of the trend.

IOTA Triangle
Chart By TradingView
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Current range

The daily chart also provides an ambiguous reading. 

The token has been trading inside a range between $1.18 and $1.48 since the beginning of Oct. While it seemingly initiated an upward movement after creating a long lower wick on Nov 18 (green icon) it was rejected by the $1.48 area on Nov 17 and continued its descent afterwards.

In addition to this, the MACD and RSI are at the 0 and 50 lines, respectively, similarly to the weekly time-frame. 

Therefore, either a breakout or breakdown from the range is required in order to determine the direction of the next movement.

IOTA range
Chart By TradingView
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IOTA wave count

Cryptocurrency trader @Mesawine1 outlined an IOTA chart, stating that the triangle looks complete and he is waiting for either the resistance or support lines to break.

IOTA Handle
Source: Twitter

Just like the weekly time-frame, IOTA seems to be trading inside a shorter-term symmetrical triangle. AS outlined above, this is a neutral pattern. 

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However, due to it transpiring after a downward movement, it could be a B – wave triangle. This would mean that after the triangle is complete, another downward movement would complete the C wave and lead to new lows. 

However, this pattern is not yet confirmed, and is uncertain due to ambiguity from technical indicators.

Therefore, whether the $1.12 low or $1.18 high breaks first will determine the direction of the future movement.

IOTA count
Chart By TradingView

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