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Injective (INJ) May Be Overvalued, On-Chain Metrics Suggest

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • INJ's price has risen by nearly 10% in the last week, driven by speculative buying.
  • Its Price-Daily Active Address (DAA) Divergence and MVRV Ratio confirm that the coin may be overvalued.
  • Its price may fall under $20 once speculative buyers become exhausted.
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In the last week, the price of INJ, the token that powers Injective, has risen by almost 10%. 

While the price rally might indicate a shift in market sentiment from bearish to bullish, a key metric reveals that it has been driven by speculative buying activity.

Injective Traders May Soon Begin Selling For Profit

An assessment of INJ’s Price-Daily Active Address (DAA) Divergence metric suggests that the recent uptick in the altcoin’s value might be short-lived.

This metric compares an asset’s price movements with the changes in its number of daily active addresses. Investors use it to track whether the price movements are supported by corresponding network activity.

At press time, INJ’s Price-DAA Divergence is 154.52%. This suggests that the coin’s price has risen significantly compared to the growth in its daily active addresses. There is a 154.52% difference between the altcoin’s price and the change in daily active addresses.

Read More: 9 Cryptocurrencies Offering the Highest Staking Yields (APY) in 2024

Injective Price DAA Divergence. Source: Santiment
Injective Price DAA Divergence. Source: Santiment

When this metric spikes like this, it suggests that the asset’s price has risen without a corresponding increase in network activity. It signals that the price rally may have been driven by speculative buying or potential overvaluation.

At this point, traders are known to begin profit-taking.

INJ’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio confirmed that the coin may be overvalued. As of this writing, the metric’s value is 128.71%.

Injective Market Value to Realized Value Ratio. Source: Santiment
Injective Market Value to Realized Value Ratio. Source: Santiment

This metric measures the ratio between an asset’s current market price and the average price at which all its coins or tokens were acquired. 

When its value is above one, the asset’s current market value is significantly higher than the price at which most investors acquire their holdings. It is deemed overvalued, and most traders sell for profit at this level

INJ Price Prediction: The Current Uptrend is Not Strong Enough

While its price has managed a 9% uptick in the last week, INJ’s market remains dominated by bears. For example, readings from its Directional Movement Index (DMI) confirm this. 

This indicator measures an asset’s trend strength. At press time, INJ’s negative directional index (red) at 29.40 rests above the positive index (blue) at 19.83.

When an asset’s DMI is set up this way, it is a bearish signal, suggesting that selling pressure outweighs the asset’s demand. 

INJ’s Aroon Up Line is at 0%, suggesting a weak current uptrend. This indicator measures an asset’s trend strength and identifies potential price reversal points. 

Injective Analysis
Injective Analysis. Source: TradingView

When the Aroon Up line is close to zero, the uptrend is weak, and the most recent high was reached a long time ago.

Once the speculative buying stops, INJ will shed all its gains and trade at $19.67.

Injective Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if the current trend continues and actual demand for the coin begins to climb, it may rally toward $22.80

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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