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HBAR’s Summer High Fades—Sub-$0.20 Risk Looms 

2 mins
Updated by Ann Maria Shibu
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In Brief

  • HBAR’s price faces pressure as futures open interest declines, signaling waning bullish sentiment in the market.
  • Weak accumulation on spot markets and negative readings from the Elder-Ray Index suggest sellers are in control.
  • HBAR could fall below $0.20 if support at $0.2366 fails, with the next support level at $0.2155.
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Hedera Hashgraph’s native token, HBAR, is facing mounting selling pressure that could push its price below the $0.20 mark in the short term. 

On-chain data reveals a steady decline in futures traders’ interest and weakening accumulation on spot markets. This combination suggests more downside could be ahead as the month progresses.

HBAR’s Futures Market Cools as Sellers Tighten Grip

HBAR’s rally, which peaked at $0.3050 on July 27, has lost momentum. Exchanging hands at $0.2427 as of this writing, the altcoin’s value has since dipped by 11%.

According to Coinglass, HBAR’s open interest in its futures market is falling sharply, signaling that derivatives traders are backing away from bullish bets. At press time, it stood at $349.35 million, plunging 11% in the past seven days.

For token TA and market updates: Want more token insights like this? Sign up for Editor Harsh Notariya’s Daily Crypto Newsletter here.

HBAR Futures Open Interest.
HBAR Futures Open Interest. Source: Coinglass

An asset’s open interest tracks the total number of active futures or options contracts. When it rises, it signals growing market participation, while a decline indicates that traders are closing positions and stepping away from the market. 

For HBAR, the recent drop in futures open interest suggests a clear loss of momentum among derivatives traders. Fewer participants are betting on a near-term rebound, reflecting the weaker accumulation trend in spot markets. 

This weak accumulation trend is also mirrored in HBAR’s Elder-Ray Index, which has printed negative values for the past six consecutive trading sessions on the daily chart. 

HBAR Elder-Ray Index.
HBAR Elder-Ray Index. Source: TradingView

This momentum indicator measures the balance of buying and selling pressure by comparing price action against a moving average. Positive values suggest buyers are in control, while negative readings indicate sellers have the upper hand.

The recent stretch of red histogram bars signals sustained selling dominance and fading bullish momentum in the HBAR market.

Hedera Support Under Pressure

At its current value, HBAR hovers above support at $0.2366. If demand falls further and this support floor weakens, a price decline to $0.2155 could occur. In case this level also gives way, HBAR could trade at $0.1944

HBAR Price Analysis
HBAR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if accumulation resumes, it could drive price gains toward $0.2667.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a Technical and On-Chain Analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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