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Analyzing Filecoin (FIL): Will $5 Support Hold or Fold?

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Filecoin price will potentially continue its downtrend as investors are taking a step back.
  • Following the liquidation of $31 million worth of long FIL contracts, bulls will pull back from making optimistic bets.
  • This is already visible in the Open Interest, which has been cut in half from $380 million to $176 million.
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Filecoin (FIL) price is one of the many altcoins that will likely continue witnessing corrections owing to bearish market cues.

The investors backing off in terms of interest and inflows will be a key factor in noting a price decline.

Filecoin Loses Its Supporters

Filecoin’s price fell from $10 at the beginning of the month to the market value of $5.9 today. This drastic correction seems to have spooked the investors considerably, given the mammoth losses that occurred in the last few days.

The derivatives markets’ chart shows that in the span of four days, the Open Interest (OI) has dropped by over 50%. OI is the total number of outstanding derivative contracts, such as futures or options, that have not been settled. It reflects market participation and liquidity.

Filecoin Open Interest
Filecoin Open Interest. Source: Coinglass

Read More: Filecoin Staking: How To Get Started

OI falling from $371 million to $186 million shows that the investors have settled half of the put and short contracts. This means that they have backed off owing to the volatility, and these are mostly long traders.

Filecoin Liquidations.
Filecoin Liquidations. Source: Coinglass

This is evident from the liquidation chart, which shows that in the last four days, about $31 million worth of long contracts were liquidated. Consequently, Filecoin will witness a pullback from bullish traders who are expecting a price rise.

FIL Price Prediction: Multi-Month Low on the Cards

Filecoin’s price falling through the support of $5.6 will result in the altcoin falling to the low of $4.6. This price point was last tested as a support floor in December 2023, marking a four-month low.

FIL/USDT 1-day chart.
FIL/USDT 1-day chart. Source: TradingView

Read More: Filecoin (FIL) price prediction 2024/2025/2030

However, a bounce back from $5.6 will lead to Filecoin’s price breaching and flipping $6.3 into support. This will result in the altcoin invalidating the bearish thesis and eventually rising to $7.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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