Ethereum Price Analysis: Possible Double Bottom for ETH/BTC?

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On July 9, 2019, the Ethereum price reached a high of ₿0.029. A rapid decrease ensued, and the price reached lows close to ₿0.023 the next day. ETH reached similar values on July 11 and 12.



Where will the ETH price go to next? Below, we are going to analyze Ethereum in different time-frames alongside technical indicators in order to answer this question.



For our previous analysis, click here.

Ethereum Price: Trends and Highlights for July 12

  • ETH/BTC is trading inside a descending channel.
  • There is bullish divergence developing in the RSI, both in the short- and the long-term.
  • The short- and long-term moving averages have made bearish crosses.
  • The price is trading inside a short-term symmetrical triangle.
  • There is resistance near ₿0.025.

ETH Price in a Descending Channel

A look at the daily time-frame shows that the Ethereum price has been trading inside a descending channel since the beginning of 2019.

At the time of writing, ETH was trading slightly above the support line of the channel.

The previous two times it touched the line, an upward move towards the resistance line began.

A closer look at Ethereum price movement shows that the daily candles for July 10 and 11 had long lower wicks.

The ETH price created a hammer on July 10, albeit a bearish one, and followed it with a bearish doji.

While the potential for a reversal is not as strong as it would be if the hammer was bullish, it is still there.

The long lower wicks indicate that there is significant buying pressure near the support line.

Will the price begin an upward move again? Let’s take a look at some technical indicators in order to find out.

Technical Indicators

The Ethereum price is analyzed alongside the RSI in the first graph and the 10-, 20-, 100- and 200- period moving averages (MA) in the second.
A look at the RSI supports the initiation of an upward move.

Since June 25, ETH has been generating bullish divergence.

This divergence, however, is not present in the MACD nor on longer-term time-frames.

Additionally, a look at the moving averages gives a bearish outlook.

A long-term bearish cross between the 100- and 200-day MAs transpired on June 10.

The short-term 10- and 20-day MAs did the same on June 15.

Since then, the Ethereum price has been trading below both MAs, facing close resistance from the 10-day one.

While there have been two attempts to move above the MAs, on July 1 and 7, respectively, they both proved to be unsuccessful — stopping at the 20-day MA.

So, while the RSI suggests that an upward move will soon begin, there is plenty of resistance for the price left to clear.

Short-Term Reversal

In the short-term, we can see that the price has been trading inside a symmetrical triangle since July 10.

It is approaching the point of convergence between resistance and support.

If the price breaks out, the closest resistance area is found near ₿0.025.

According to the RSI, this is likely.

There has been a bullish divergence developing in the lows reached on July 10 and 11.

Therefore, we believe that ETH will initiate a short-term upward move towards ₿0.025, and possibly the resistance line of the channel.

Summary

The Ethereum price has been trading inside a descending channel since the beginning of the year.

Both short- and long-term indicators suggest that the price will soon begin an upward move.

The closest resistance area is found near ₿0.025.

Do you think the Ethereum price will break out from the triangle? Let us know in the comments below.


Disclaimer: This article is not trading advice and should not be construed as such. Always consult a trained financial professional before investing in cryptocurrencies, as the market is particularly volatile. 

Images are courtesy of Shutterstock, TradingView.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.
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Valdrin is a cryptocurrency enthusiast and financial trader. After obtaining a masters degree in Financial Markets at the Barcelona Graduate School of Economics he began working at the Ministry of Economic Development in his native country of Kosovo. In 2019, he decided to focus full-time on cryptocurrencies and trading.

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