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Ethereum (ETH) Price Analysis: Impact of ETF Launch and Subsequent Staking

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • Ethereum’s price is attempting to recover, but much of it relies on the potential launch of spot ETH ETFs on July 4.
  • Since the launch of Ethereum restaking in 2023, staking has suffered, with many withdrawing from being validators.
  • The shift in sentiment has halted the rapid exit of stakers, which could revive the post-spot ETF launch.
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Ethereum (ETH) price is expected to note a massive surge following the launch of spot ETH ETFs this week. 

However, the bigger question is whether the hype surrounding the ETFs will be able to bring interest back into staking or not.

Spot Ethereum ETF Could Bring Major Changes

Ethereum’s transition from proof of work to proof of stake was met with extreme bullishness. It introduced a new form of yield for ETH holders, something that Bitcoin cannot offer since it is a proof-of-work chain. 

Plus, with ETH staking came the power of partial governance as becoming or endorsing a validator made the investors an integral part of the chain. 

This ideology led to millions of ETH being staked in the chain. However, the eventual arrival of restaking in June 2023 resulted in significant outflows of staked ETH, which have been continuous since May 24 this year.

As the spot Ethereum ETF applications received approval on May 23, the validators halted their unstaking. Since then, the number of validators, i.e., the number of unique addresses holding at least 32 ETH, has been stable at around 116,480.

Read More: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?

Ethereum Validator Addresses.
Ethereum Validator Addresses. Source: Glassnode

Nevertheless, the launch of spot ETFs is expected to revive the interest in staking again. Discussing the same, Chen Arad, Co-founder and CXO of Solidus Labs, exclusively told BeInCrypto,

“A key element for institutional interest in Ethereum ETFs moving forward would be staking of ETH held by ETF funds, which is not currently included in the approved rule-change and proposals. This could make ETH ETFs an even more attractive product for wider audiences and open the door to further institutional inflows and engagement with DeFi

However, to get regulators comfortable with the staking of ETH ETF funds, the industry needs to continue addressing fundamental concerns about compliance and security risks in the pre-chain block-building process.”

This could have a similarly bullish impact on Ethereum’s price as well.

ETH Price Prediction: Eyeing $4,000

Ethereum’s price bounced back from the support of 38.2% Fibonacci Retracement at $3,336. The second-generation cryptocurrency is currently changing hands at $3,474. There is anticipation that ETH will reclaim the 50% Fib line at $3,582.

Ethereum’s price would be open to a massive recovery if this happens, potentially even flipping 61.8% of the Fib line into support. This level lies at $3,829, which could boost ETH toward $4,000 in the long run.

Read More: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Ethereum Price Analysis.
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, a failure to breach any of these key resistance levels could result in a slowdown in recovery. If ETH investors sell their holdings during this duration, the altcoin could end up at $3,336 again, invalidating the bullish thesis.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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