Is Chiliz (CHZ) Price Taking a Hit as Football Season Ends?

3 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • CHZ has hovered around $0.12 for the last 7 trading days.
  • New investors appear hesitant to join the Socios network. 
  • Compared to current market demand, more CHZ traders are actively looking to sell.
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Chiliz (CHZ) price has stagnated around the $0.12 mark since April 26. On-chain data shows that the inability to attract new demand has resulted in a disproportionate increase in active sell-orders on exchange. How much price downswing can CHZ holders expect?

CHZ is the native cryptocurrency of the Chiliz blockchain, which powers the Socios sports and entertainment platform.

Most fan tokens issued on the Chiliz blockchain are affiliated with European football clubs. With the European football season closing in May 2023, new investors are hesitating to join the Socios ecosystem.

Here is how that could impact CHZ price in the coming weeks. 

Chiliz Fans Are Growing Cold Feet 

Chiliz (CHZ) is used as a means of payment within the Socios platform. It allows fans to purchase fan tokens that grant them access to various rewards and exclusive privileges. With the current football season entering a hiatus at the end of May, CHZ is struggling to attract new fans.

The number of new participants joining the Chiliz network has been in a steep decline since early April, according to on-chain data rendered by Santiment. The chart below illustrates how Chiliz Network Growth has dropped 61%, from 319 to 124 new wallet addresses, between April 8 and May 2. 

Chiliz (CHZ) Price vs. Network Growth. May 2023.
Chiliz (CHZ) Price vs. Network Growth. May 2023. Source: Santiment

Network growth tracks the number of new wallet addresses created on a blockchain network. When it drops persistently, as seen above, it indicates new users are growing hesitant to join the network.

This could be attributed to dwindling fan interest as the services and privileges offered on the Socios ecosystem may not be in demand over the coming weeks. 

Current Holders Are Looking To Sell

On a more bearish note, the lopsided order books of exchanges show that the volume of CHZ sell-orders has outpaced buy orders. Currently, sellers have placed active orders to sell 56 million CHZ coins. Meanwhile, buyers are only requesting 46 million CHZ around the current prices. 

Chiliz (CHZ) Aggregate Exchange Order Books. May 2023.
Chiliz (CHZ) Aggregate Exchange Order Books. May 2023. Source: IntoTheBlock

The Exchange Market Depth chart outlines the number of buy orders and sell orders currently listed by traders across various crypto exchanges. With an excess supply of over 10 million coins, sellers may have to lower prices as they compete to get their orders filled. 

In conclusion, the bearish combination of a decline in new users and excess market supply means that CHZ is likely to experience some price downswing in the coming days.

CHZ Price Prediction: The Bears Could Force A Move to $0.10 

A critical analysis of the In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) data compiled by IntoTheBlock suggests that Chiliz price will likely drop to $0.10. But first, the bears will have to contend with 2,650 bullish investors that bought 216 million coins for an average price of $0.12.

If CHZ price drops below $0.12 as expected, holders can anticipate further losses until it reaches the next significant support level at $0.10

Chiliz (CHZ) IOMAP Price Distribution Data. May 2023
Chiliz (CHZ) IOMAP Price Distribution Data. May 2023. Source: IntoTheBlock

Conversely, the bulls could invalidate this negative outlook if CHZ price can break above $0.13. However, sell-pressure from 1,700 investors that bought 414 million coins around this price will likely prevent this.

If the price can scale that sell wall, Chiliz may experience an unlikely rally toward $0.14.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Ibrahim Ajibade
Ibrahim Ajibade Ademolawa is an experienced On-chain research analyst who began his career in Commercial Banking. He has worked with several Web3 startups and financial institutions —analyzing technical concepts and spectacular events that link the DeFi and TradFi worlds. He holds a Bachelors’ Degree in Economics and is currently pursuing an MSc. in Blockchain & Distributed Ledger Technologies.
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