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Chainlink’s (LINK) Massive Rally May Finally Be Kaput

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Written by
Valdrin Tahiri

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Edited by
Kyle Baird

31 August 2020 12:03 UTC
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  • LINK weekly chart shows considerable weakness.
  • There is resistance and support at $16.85 and $13.75.
  • The price has likely completed the B wave of an A-B-C correction.
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The Chainlink (LINK) price has been decreasing since reaching a high of $20.11 on Aug 16.

It’s likely that an almost three-year-long upward trend has ended and LINK has now begun what could be a potentially lengthy correction.

LINK Shows Long-Term Weakness

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The LINK price has been steadily increasing since October 2017, but it really started to accelerate at the beginning of March of this year.

The weekly chart has begun to show some serious signs of weakness though. There is a bearish divergence in the RSI and Stochastic RSI, both of which are heavily overbought.

Furthermore, the MACD is decreasing after going parabolic for a period of time. All are signs that the long upward move has probably ended and that LINK is most likely entering a corrective period.

LINK Weekly Chart
LINK Chart By TradingView

Deviation Above Range High

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The daily chart shows that the price created what resembles a shooting star candlestick yesterday. A close below $14.91 would complete an evening star, which is considered a bearish reversal pattern.

Technical indicators provide a mixed outlook. While the short-term MACD is increasing and has given a bullish reversal signal, the long-term MACD is decreasing. A close below $14.22 would invalidate the bullish reversal signal given in the MACD.

LINK Daily Outlook
LINK Chart By TradingView

Yesterday, the price also reached a high above the $16.85 resistance but has fallen back below since.

This suggests that yesterday’s increase was a deviation above the range which will be followed by a decrease.

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If so, the closest support area is found at $13.75.

LINK Deviation
LINK Chart By TradingView

Wave Count

Cryptocurrency trader @Imkeshav outlined a LINK chart, stating that the current upward movement is corrective rather than impulsive and that the price will likely decrease towards $10.

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LINK Top
Source: Twitter

Since Aug 16, LINK has likely been completing an A-B-C correction, finishing wave B with yesterday’s high. The high was reached at the 0.618 Fib level of the previous downward move.

If the C wave has the same length as A, the price should indeed reach a bottom near $10.

LINK Wave Count
LINK Chart By TradingView

For BeInCrypto’s previous Chainlink (LINK) analysis, click here!

Disclaimer

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