Bitcoin Treads Water Above Support Levels

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In Brief
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The Bitcoin (BTC) price was rejected by the $37,700 resistance area on Jan. 19 and dropped immediately after.

Nevertheless, Bitcoin is still holding on above support and is expected to resume its consolidation.


Bitcoin in a Symmetrical Triangle

Bitcoin has continued consolidating inside the symmetrical triangle since Jan. 4.

Yesterday, it was rejected by the 0.618 Fib retracement level of the most recent downward movement at $37,709 and dropped sharply.

However, BTC is still trading above the support line of this triangle.

BTC Triangle
BTC Chart By TradingView

Technical indicators are neutral and fail to confirm the direction of the trend.

The readings from the daily chart are ambiguous. While the MACD and Stochastic oscillator are bearish, the daily RSI has generated a significant hidden bullish divergence — a strong sign of trend continuation.

Therefore, while an upward move could occur as a result of the hidden bullish divergence, it seems that the longer-term trend is bearish.

BTC Divergence
BTC Chart By TradingView

BTC Wave Count

In BeInCrypto’s Bitcoin analysis from yesterday, we stated that;

“The wave count suggests that BTC is trading inside a complex W-X-Y correction (shown in orange below), in which the X wave is a triangle. This also fits with the longer-term count, which suggests that BTC is correcting from the upward movement beginning in September 2020.”

BTC possibly completed the C wave of the triangle with its rejection yesterday and is now likely in the D or E wave.

A correction would be expected after the formation is complete. This would be confirmed by a decrease below the B wave low of $33,833 (red line).

On the other hand, an increase above the A wave high of $40,112 would likely indicate that BTC is still in a bullish trend.

BTC Count
BTC Chart By TradingView

It is possible that BTC is still in the C wave, but that cannot be determined at this point. This scenario wouldn’t have an effect on the longer-term picture or the bullish/bearish invalidation levels.

BTC Alternative Count
BTC Chart By TradingView


Bitcoin is expected to continue consolidating inside its symmetrical triangle before breaking down. A decrease below $33,833 would confirm that the correction has begun.

For BeInCrypto’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here!


All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.
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Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona graduate school of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst.

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