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Bitcoin Price Suffered More from Trump’s Tariff War Than Israel-Iran Conflict

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In Brief

  • Bitcoin struggles to break $105,000, facing pressure from geopolitical tensions, particularly the Israel-Iran conflict, and fears of a tariff war.
  • Despite a $1.47 billion buy in BTC, investor sentiment has dipped, with concerns of further declines if geopolitical tensions worsen.
  • Bitcoin must hold above $105,000 to target $108,000; a drop below $102,734 could signal further bearish momentum, invalidating bullish outlook.
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Bitcoin’s price has faced significant struggles around the $105,000 mark in recent weeks. Despite attempts to push higher, the cryptocurrency has found it difficult to break past this level.

Nevertheless, investors still hold out hope for a recovery, but geopolitical tensions, particularly the rising conflict between Israel and Iran, have created additional uncertainty in the market.

Bitcoin Holders Fear Tariff War Over Actual War

Investor sentiment surrounding Bitcoin has been steadily declining as concerns about the geopolitical climate escalate. While BTC holders are still optimistic about the asset’s long-term prospects, their enthusiasm has waned in recent weeks.

The ongoing tensions between Israel and Iran have contributed to a shift in sentiment, pushing it to its lowest levels in two months. This starkly contrasts the situation in April, when sentiment was also hit hard due to the broader economic effects of the tariff war initiated by former US President Donald Trump.

Despite the drop in sentiment, the current environment is not as dire as it was in April or earlier. During those times, Bitcoin’s price fell below $80,000, driven by broader global uncertainties. The latest geopolitical tensions, while impactful, may not lead to as severe a decline.

Bitcoin Investor Sentiment
Bitcoin Investor Sentiment. Source: Santiment

Bitcoin’s recent price action is supported by a slightly bullish trend in its exchange net position. Over the past week, 14,004 BTC, worth over $1.4 billion, were bought by investors. 

This demonstrates that, despite the broader market turbulence, there is still strong investor confidence in Bitcoin’s long-term recovery. As long as this accumulation continues, Bitcoin may have a better chance of weathering the storm and recovering once market conditions improve.

Bitcoin Exchange Net Position Change.
Bitcoin Exchange Net Position Change. Source: Glassnode

BTC Price Is Struggling

Bitcoin’s price currently stands at $105,000, and it is attempting to flip this level into support in order to pave the way for a rise toward $108,000. If BTC successfully holds above $105,000, it could trigger an upward movement toward this next key price point, signaling the possibility of a recovery.

Once Bitcoin breaks through the $108,000 resistance, it will likely aim for the next major level at $110,000. Surpassing the $109,476 resistance will help push the price further, bringing back some optimism among BTC investors. A sustained rise through these levels could bolster investor confidence, reinforcing the bullish outlook for the cryptocurrency.

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if investor sentiment continues to worsen due to geopolitical tensions, Bitcoin’s price could experience a sharp decline. In such a case, it may fall toward the support level of $102,734 or even lower to $101,503. A drop below these levels would invalidate the current bullish thesis and signal further bearish pressure on Bitcoin.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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