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FOMC Report Causes Bitcoin Dip: Will Sell-Side Pressure Drag Prices Lower?

2 mins
Updated by Harsh Notariya
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In Brief

  • Bitcoin recovers to $118,419 after dipping to $115,700 following the FOMC meeting, but sell-side pressure and market volatility pose risks.
  • The Relative Unrealized Profit (RUP) indicator suggests a potential pullback, while the Squeeze Momentum Indicator (SMI) signals Bitcoin is entering a consolidation phase.
  • Bitcoin needs to break above $120,000 and reclaim $122,000 as support to avoid further declines; a drop below $117,261 could push it toward $115,000 or lower.
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Bitcoin’s price has been rangebound for the last few days, consolidated between $117,261 and $120,000. However, recent market conditions and external influences, such as the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Wednesday, caused a temporary decline. 

As of now, Bitcoin is priced at $118,419, slightly recovering after dipping to $115,700. Despite this recovery, Bitcoin’s path remains uncertain, owing to factors such as sell-side pressure.

Bitcoin is Showing Signs of a Decline Ahead

The Relative Unrealized Profit (RUP) has recently broken above the +2σ band, a level often associated with euphoric market phases. Historically, this setup has preceded market tops, signaling a latent sell-side pressure that could eventually drag prices lower. 

The current state of the RUP indicates that a pullback may be likely in the coming days, potentially pushing Bitcoin’s price out of its consolidation range. Given past patterns, a shift toward selling could result in further downward pressure.

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Bitcoin Unrealized Profit
Bitcoin Unrealized Profit Source: Glassnode

The Squeeze Momentum Indicator (SMI) is signaling that Bitcoin is entering a consolidation phase. Historically, these periods of consolidation, where price movement becomes more limited, have preceded significant price moves once the squeeze is released.

As the squeeze continues to build, Bitcoin’s price is poised for a sharp move in one direction. If the broader market remains bearish, Bitcoin could see a sharp decline, particularly if the SMI confirms this negative trend in the coming days.

Bitcoin SIM
Bitcoin SQM. Source: TradingView

BTC Price Needs To Jump

Bitcoin is currently trading at $118,410, after falling to $115,700 on Wednesday as the FOMC report came out. The market’s response to the Federal Reserve’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged led to BTC’s recovery, but the underlying market conditions still pose risks. 

Bitcoin’s price is susceptible to further declines if investors start booking profits, potentially pushing the cryptocurrency below the $117,261 support level. A drop past this support could lead Bitcoin’s price to $115,000 or even lower.

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

The only way this bearish outlook would be invalidated is if Bitcoin manages to hold above $120,000 and reclaim $122,000 as support. A surge above these levels would likely provide the momentum needed to push Bitcoin toward new highs. However, until that happens, Bitcoin’s price remains vulnerable to fluctuations and market pressures.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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