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Bitcoin Will Never Drop Below $40,000 Again: Analyst Predicts Parabolic Move

2 mins
Updated by Ali Martinez
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In Brief

  • PlanB predicts Bitcoin will never drop below $40,000 again, citing realized prices.
  • Peter Brandt suggests a potential parabolic BTC run based on Elliott Wave Theory.
  • Ali Martinez notes significant BTC accumulation, indicating strong market confidence.
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Bitcoin (BTC) continues to capture the attention of investors and analysts alike. Amidst fluctuating market conditions, a bold prediction has emerged by renowned market analysts.

One suggested that Bitcoin will never drop below $40,000 again, while others expect a parabolic move on the horizon.

Bitcoin Price Will Never Drop Below $40,000

Renowned Bitcoin analyst, known by the pseudonym PlanB, has provided a bullish outlook based on a series of realized prices. This metric reflects the average price at which Bitcoin has been traded in the past.

According to PlanB, the realized cost price of Bitcoin has seen a consistent uptrend, currently standing at $23,000, $32,000 for the two-year, and, notably, $40,000 for the five-month period. With Bitcoin trading above these benchmarks at approximately $42,000, PlanB interprets this as a strong bullish sign.

Bitcoin Realized Price
Bitcoin Realized Price. Source: PlanBTC

He even suggested that any dips to the five-month realized price of $40,000 could represent the lowest bounds for Bitcoin’s value in the foreseeable future.

“All these realized prices are going up and Bitcoin is above all of them and that’s a very bullish sign. We see that at the start of every bull market… They all go up, and Bitcoin stays above… So that might mean no guarantee, again, but that might mean that Bitcoin will not go below $40,000 ever again,” PlanB noted.

Parabolic Move Amid Soaring BTC Accumulation

Echoing this bullish sentiment, trading veteran Peter Brandt pointed to the potential for another parabolic run in Bitcoin’s price. Inspired by Elliott Wave Theory, Brandt’s analysis identifies a market pattern of peaks and troughs indicative of investor psychology and potential for significant price movements.

The sequence he identifies – bump, hump, lump, and pump – has historically preceded notable surges in Bitcoin’s value. Brandt’s recent observations suggest that Bitcoin may be on the cusp of entering the “pump” phase, poised for exponential growth if it successfully overcomes key resistance levels.

“Is history repeating itself? As Yogi Berra once said, ‘it’s like deja vu all over again,'” Brandt said.

Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin Price Performance
Bitcoin Price Performance. Source: TradingView

Further supporting the bullish sentiment, Ali Martinez, BeInCrypto’s Global Head of News, highlighted a significant trend in Bitcoin accumulation.

According to him, Bitcoin is undergoing one of its “most significant accumulation streaks in almost 3 years.” Martinez pointed to the Accumulation Trend Score, which has remained near 1 for the past four months. This indicates a strong confidence in the market, with larger entities significantly investing in Bitcoin.

Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score
Bitcoin Accumulation Trend Score. Source: Glassnode

The convergence of these analyses presents a compelling case for Bitcoin’s future trajectory. PlanB’s insight into realized prices, Brandt’s interpretation of market patterns, and Martinez’s observations on Bitcoin accumulation collectively underscore a market sentiment ripe with optimism.

As Bitcoin hovers above critical price thresholds, the prospect of it not dropping below $40,000 again becomes increasingly plausible. Therefore, it paints a picture of a digital currency on the brink of another historic run.

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In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

Bary Rahma
Bary Rahma is a senior journalist at BeInCrypto, where she covers a broad spectrum of topics including crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs), artificial intelligence (AI), tokenization of real-world assets (RWA), and the altcoin market. Prior to this, she was a content writer for Binance, producing in-depth research reports on cryptocurrency trends, market analysis, decentralized finance (DeFi), digital asset regulations, blockchain, initial coin offerings (ICOs), and tokenomics. Bary also...