The Bitcoin price has initiated a downward move, which has put into play a bearish medium-term scenario in which the price could drop to $7000.
Let’s take a closer look at the Bitcoin price movement — along with technical indicators — and decide where the price will go to next.
Since June 26, the Bitcoin price had been trading inside a symmetrical triangle. The price broke down from this pattern on September 24.
Afterward, the Bitcoin price initiated a rapid upward move on October 25. While this was initially seen as the beginning of a new uptrend, signaling that the bottom is in, the subsequent price movement makes us believe that it was a validation of the previous support line as resistance.
There are two support areas, one minor at $8000 and the other near $7000. A breakdown below the latter would likely cause the price to fall towards $5000.
The entire upward move throughout May/June/July was preceded by a bullish cross between the 100- and 200-day moving averages (MA).
Now, the opposite has occurred — since we have a bearish cross between the aforementioned MAs. This is another bearish sign.
Current Bitcoin Breakdown
In the short-term, the Bitcoin price broke down from a descending wedge. It is not currently following any clear trading patterns.
The volume on the breakdown was weak. This increases the chances that we will see a bounce at $8000. However, due to the bearish long-term market structure, we do not think the small levels of volume make it sufficient for this to be considered a fake breakdown.
Disclaimer: This article is not trading advice and should not be construed as such. Always consult a trained financial professional before investing in cryptocurrencies, as the market is particularly volatile.
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