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Technical Analysis

Exclusive Bitcoin Dominance (BTCD) Drops to Lowest Levels Since 2018

2 mins
Updated by Kyle Baird

In Brief

  • Bitcoin dominance has support at 43.5% and 39.5%.
  • Long- and short-term technical indicators are bearish.
  • BTCD has reached its lowest level since June 2018
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The bitcoin dominance rate (BTCD) has fallen below numerous long-term support levels, reaching its lowest value since 2018. The BTCD rate is expected to continue moving downwards to eventually reach the closest support level at 39.5%.

Long-term BTCD decrease

BTCD has been moving downwards since it reached a high of 73.63% in December 2020. Since then, it has decreased by a full 30%. The rate of decrease really accelerated once a breakdown from the 53% area occurred. Previously, this level had been acting as support since August 2018. Currently, BTCD is at the 0.786 Fib retracement support level, found at 43.51%. The next support below it is a horizontal level found at 39.5%. This area not been reached since early 2018. Technical indicators in the weekly time frame are still bearish. The MACD is negative, the RSI has fallen below the 30-line and the Stochastic oscillator has made a bearish cross. Therefore, the long-term trend is still considered bearish.
BTCD Long-Term
BTCD Chart By TradingView

Failed BTCD reversal

The daily chart does not provide any clear bullish reversal signs. The MACD has invalidated a potential bullish reversal signal with a lower momentum bar. And, while the RSI has been oversold for a full 42 days, it has not generated any significant bullish divergence yet. Similarly, the Stochastic oscillator has not yet made a bullish cross. Therefore, the daily chart readings align with those from the weekly time frame, indicating that the trend is still bearish. As a result, further decreases are expected.
BTCD Daily Movement
BTCD Chart By TradingView
The two-hour chart also provides bearish readings. Both the MACD and RSI are decreasing. The latter is close to breaking down below 30.
BTCD Short-Term
BTCD Chart By TradingView


The bitcoin dominance trend is still bearish, indicating that the rate could continue decreasing towards the next closest support level at 39.50%. For BeInCrypto’s latest bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.


In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions.