Exclusive Bitcoin (BTC) Price Falls But Maintains Short-Term Structure

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In Brief
  • Bitcoin is trading in a range between $31,300 and $40,550.

  • Technical indicators in the daily time-frame are leaning bearish.

  • BTC is trading inside a short-term descending parallel channel.

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Bitcoin (BTC) decreased considerably on July 12, creating a bearish engulfing candlestick and reaching a low of $32,658.

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BTC is still trading inside a short-term descending parallel channel, from which a breakout could occur.

BTC trading range

BTC has been trading inside a range between $31,300 and $40,550 since May 19. It’s currently in the lower portion of this range. 

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On July 12, BTC created a bearish engulfing candlestick and fell to a low of $32,658. However, it has bounced back to the $33,000 level since. 

Technical indicators are leaning bearish. The Stochastic oscillator is close to making a bearish cross and the RSI is below 50. In addition, the MACD has created one lower momentum bar. Another bearish close with another lower momentum bar would give a bearish reversal signal in the MACD.

BTC Chart By TradingView

Short-term movement

The six-hour chart shows that BTC initially broke out from a descending resistance line which had been in place since June 15. However, the breakout could not be sustained and the token has fallen back below the support line. 

In addition, six-hour indicators are bearish, as both the RSI and MACD are falling.

BTC has to reclaim this line in order for the trend to be considered bullish.

BTC Chart By TradingView

Wave count

The two-hour chart shows that BTC is trading inside a descending parallel channel with very choppy movement. Therefore, it’s trajectory is likely to be corrective. 

The most likely wave count indicates that the movement is a complex W-X-Y corrective structure. In this case, a breakout would be expected, which could take the price towards the range highs.

It’s possible that BTC will revisit the support line of the channel once more in order to complete the X wave before breaking out.

BTC Chart By TradingView

For BeInCrypto’s latest bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.
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Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona graduate school of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst.

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