Bitcoin (BTC) Attempts to Reclaim Crucial $44,000 Level

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In Brief
  • Bitcoin is attempting to reclaim the $44,000 resistance area.

  • It's trading in the upper portion of a descending parallel channel.

  • BTC has completed a corrective structure.

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After increasing considerably since Sept 21, Bitcoin (BTC) is in the process of reclaiming the $44,000 horizontal area.

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BTC is trading inside the upper portion of a descending parallel channel, from which a breakout is likely. However, it’s also facing short-term resistance.

BTC attempts to reclaim support

On Sept 22, BTC created a bullish engulfing candlestick after bouncing at the 0.5 Fib retracement support level at $40,800.

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It resumed its ascent the next day and has moved above the $44,000 area. The area previously acted as support and is now expected to act as resistance. 

However, BTC reached a close above it and is now in the process of validating it as support. Doing so would be a major bullish development. 

Technical indicators in the daily time frame are still bearish. The RSI is below 50, the MACD is decreasing (even though it has created one higher momentum bar), and the Super trend is bearish. 

If another breakdown were to occur, the next support would be found at $38,000.

Future BTC movement

The six-hour chart shows that BTC is trading inside the upper portion of a descending parallel channel. Such channels usually contain corrective movements, so a breakout from it is eventually expected. 

However, BTC is trading inside the 0.5-0.618 Fib retracement resistance area, therefore a short-term rejection could occur prior to the eventual breakout.

This possibility is also supported by the two-hour chart, which shows a decreasing MACD (red icon).

Wave count

The decrease since Sept 7 was likely part of an A-B-C corrective structure (orange), in which waves A:C had a near 1:1 ratio. 

The Sept 21 low likely marked the end of this correction. The increase above the A wave low (red line) further supports this possibility.

The most long-term wave count indicates that this decrease was wave two of a longer-term bullish impulse.

For BeInCrypto’s previous Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.
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Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona graduate school of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst.

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