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‘Alt Season’ Pushed Back Until Next Year According to Some Analysts

2 mins
Updated by Kyle Baird
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In Brief

  • Analysts predict no major movements in altcoin markets until next year, post-Bitcoin halving in 2024.
  • Altcoins are in a large accumulation period within a market capitalization range of $290 to $460 billion.
  • Many high cap altcoins remain more than 90% down from their all-time high prices.
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Crypto analysts are not expecting any major movements from altcoin markets until next year. The rest of this year will remain relatively flat for altcoins unless there is a major move by big brother Bitcoin.

Alt season may not happen until after the Bitcoin halving in 2024, according to one analyst who has been analyzing markets.

No Alt Season Before Halving

There could be plenty of time to accumulate more altcoins, with no major movements expected for the rest of this year.

On July 10, crypto analyst ‘@IamZeroIka’ said, “altcoins are currently facing a big accumulation period.” This is within a market capitalization range of $290 billion to $460 billion.   

“In my opinion, this is intended to last till the next year post-halving, which is estimated to take plan in April, approximately.”

The analyst used a chart that shows the total crypto market cap without Bitcoin and Ethereum. This clearly shows extended periods of sideways trading on altcoin markets in the previous and current bear markets.

Total market cap of altcoins. Source: Twitter/@IamZeroIka
Total market cap of altcoins. Source: Twitter/@IamZeroIka

The current phase is around halfway through, so there may be no real action for altcoins until mid-2024.

Alt season usually lags behind large movements in Bitcoin and Ethereum. BTC has rallied twice this year and is up more than 80% since the beginning of 2023. However, the same cannot be said for most altcoins, which are still massively down from their peak prices during the last bull market.

Crypto trader ‘@CryptoTony__’ posted a path to alt season, which has played out in previous market cycles.

Path to alt season. Source: Twitter/‘@CryptoTony__
Path to alt season. Source: Twitter/@CryptoTony__

The exception could be Ripple’s XRP should the firm secure a victory in its drawn-out court battle with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

A win for the fintech firm could see XRP doubling in price in a very short time. However, it is likely to halve in value if the SEC wins and it is deemed a security.

Find out how to recognize chart trading patters with our guides: A Guide to Bullish Candlestick Patterns in Technical Analysis

Altcoins Remain Deep in Bear Territory

Most of the high-cap altcoins are still in a lot of pain, so accumulation over the next year could be possible.

Binance, which has had no end of regulatory problems this year, is seeing its BNB token hold up with just a 66% decline from its peak.

However, Cardano (ADA), Dogecoin (DOGE), Solana (SOL), Bitcoin Cash (BCH), and Avalanche (AVAX) have all suffered 90% losses from their highs.  

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Martin Young
Martin Young is a seasoned cryptocurrency journalist and editor with over 7 years of experience covering the latest news and trends in the digital asset space. He is passionate about making complex blockchain, fintech, and macroeconomics concepts understandable for mainstream audiences.   Martin has been featured in top finance, technology, and crypto publications including BeInCrypto, CoinTelegraph, NewsBTC, FX Empire, and Asia Times. His articles provide an in-depth analysis of...
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