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Ethereum Attempts Final Push Towards $500

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Smith
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In Brief

  • Technical indicators for Ethereum are bearish on the daily time-frame.
  • There is resistance and support at $445 and $405, respectively.
  • The price could be in the final wave of a five-wave impulsive formation.
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The Ethereum (ETH) price has nearly reached an important long-term resistance level. While another upward move could take place, the upside potential seems limited relative to that of a correction.

Long-Term Levels

The Ethereum price has almost reached the 0.5 Fib level of the entire decline which began in April 2019, found at $460. The level also marked the acceleration of the fall from that high and is likely to act as resistance in the future. Technical indicators are still bullish. Both the RSI and MACD are still increasing, even though the former is overbought. There is no bearish divergence yet. If the price were to break out above the current resistance level, the next one would be found at $550.
Ethereum Long-Term Resistance
ETH Chart By TradingView
However, both indicators show a pronounced divergence on the daily time-frame. Furthermore, the MACD has even crossed into negative territory, a sign that the upward movement has lost momentum. However, even though volume has been consistently decreasing while the price makes higher highs, there has not been a significant sell-off yet, which would be a sign of a top.
Ethereum Double Top
ETH Chart By TradingView

Possible Bounce

Cryptocurrency trader @PostyXBT outlined an Ethereum chart which shows the price resting inside a support area. He states that he is still bullish and is looking for longs.
Ethereum Movement
Source: Twitter
The support area outlined is found at $405, and acted as the high on August 2. The price has now returned to validate it as support. There are bullish divergences visible on the shorter-term MACD and RSI, so the price could initiate a bounce. If so, the closest resistance area would be found at $445.
Ethereum Short-Term Movement
ETH Chart By TradingView

Ethereum Wave Count

Beginning on March 13, the Ethereum price has possibly begun a five-wave impulsive formation, currently being in the fifth and final wave (black). The fifth wave has extended, measuring five sub-waves (blue). Furthermore, the fifth sub-wave has extended, measuring five minor sub-waves (brown). While it’s difficult to accurately determine the top of a fifth wave extension, the 2.21 Fib level of waves 1 – 3 (black) gives a target of $480, and the 0.618 Fib level of the minor sub-waves 1-3 (brown) gives a target of $487, making a top near this level likely.
Ethereum Long-Term Wave Count
ETH Chart By TradingView
The sub-wave count also fits with this possibility, since the price has completed waves 1 through 4, and a fifth wave would complete the formation, and allow the price to reach the fib targets from the previous section.
Ethereum Short-Term Wave Count
ETH Chart By TradingView
To conclude, the Ethereum price seems to be nearing the top of its upward move that began on March 13. A likely level for the top is found at $480.
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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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