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PUMP Token Launch Puts Pressure on Solana—Analysts Weigh Capital Rotation Risk

2 mins
Updated by Ann Maria Shibu
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In Brief

  • SOL’s slight price dip post-PUMP token announcement signals short-term capital rotation from SOL to the Pump.fun ecosystem.
  • Analysts suggest this may be a “buy the rumor, sell the news” event, with potential long-term upside for SOL investors.
  • Critics argue Pump.fun’s $1 billion token raise is opportunistic, with some labeling it an “exit scam” amid declining platform revenues.
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Solana’s price faced downward pressure this week following the announcement of a token launch by Pump.fun, the meme coin launchpad dominating the network’s token creation.

As excitement builds around the new PUMP token, market watchers point to capital rotation and short-term volatility for SOL. At the same time, some analysts warn the launch may be an opportunistic cash grab.

Capital Rotation Towards PUMP Token

According to a post on X by Bullet, a trading network extension on Solana, SOL’s price dropped after Pump.fun announced the launch of its PUMP token. Many believe this movement is linked to capital rotation.

Pump.fun has long played a significant role in the Solana ecosystem, with over 52% of tokens launched on this network through their platform. Many investors have used SOL as a proxy to indirectly benefit from the transaction fee revenue generated by Pump.fun.

Pump.fun accounts for the majority of token launches on Solana. Source: Dune
Pump.fun accounts for the majority of token launches on Solana. Source: Dune

However, with the announcement of PUMP, some capital may have shifted away from SOL, putting downward pressure on its price. Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher noted that a 1% drop on a 1-minute timeframe is not overly significant but reflects the market’s sensitivity to such events.

“[Pump.fun token] has some negative impact on SOL (at least in the short term), as there will be some rotation into PUMP – as many people used the SOL token as a proxy to get upside to the on-chain fee generation derived from Pump Fun,” Deutscher shared on X.

According to the analyst, this rotation could turn into a “buy the rumor, sell the news” event, where the damage to SOL was priced in beforehand. However, he remains optimistic about SOL in the long term.

“Still not bearish on SOL long term, too much traction/mindshare to ignore, just cognizant of the impact in the shorter term – arguably could be a buying opportunity if there is material weakness over the coming months,” he added.

Pump.fun’s Token Launch as an “Exit Scam”

Pump.fun’s plan to raise $1 billion through its token offering has raised significant concerns within the community. Pump.fun has accumulated over $763 million in fee revenue. With such substantial revenue, the token launch seems unusually late.

Fees on Pump.fun. Source: DefiLlama
Fees on Pump.fun. Source: DefiLlama

“They don’t need to raise $1b (they already have $700m+!).. Massive overkill and clearly opportunistic,” Deutscher commented.

Trader Wizard of Soho went further, labeling Pump.fun’s token launch as an “exit scam.” According to wizardofsoho, Pump.fun’s revenue has dropped nearly 90%, and the project’s team is fully aware of this decline.

“This is where the genius of pump fun devs comes in. Launch the token before their protocol is worthless and investors get nothing,” he stated.

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Linh Bùi
Linh Bùi (builink) is a content creator in the field of finance in general and cryptocurrency in particular. With the desire to share articles specializing in knowledge about the cryptocurrency market, builink takes on the task of compiling articles about experience and knowledge for beginners as well as updating HOT news in the market through more multi-dimensional perspectives.
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