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Dogecoin Eyes Recovery After 25% Crash, but Investor Confidence Fades

2 mins
Updated by Mohammad Shahid
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In Brief

  • Dogecoin dropped 25% to $0.247, with investor sentiment turning bearish and network activity declining, limiting recovery potential.
  • The MVRV ratio at -23% signals a potential buying opportunity, but weak liquidity may keep DOGE stuck below key resistance levels.
  • DOGE must reclaim $0.268 to spark recovery; breaking this resistance could trigger a rally toward $0.311 and invalidate the bearish outlook.
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Dogecoin has suffered a significant downturn, dropping nearly 25% in the past week and reaching a two-month low. The recent price decline has weakened investor confidence, leaving DOGE vulnerable to further corrections. 

While bearish sentiment dominates, there is possible scope for recovery if key market conditions align in favor of buyers.  

Dogecoin Investors Have A Shot

The weighted sentiment for Dogecoin has entered negative territory as skepticism grows among investors. The ongoing decline and lack of a meaningful recovery have contributed to bearish outlooks.

Without a strong upward push, DOGE holders may continue exiting their positions, further increasing selling pressure and slowing any potential rebound.  

As uncertainty rises, liquidity and active addresses could decline, making it difficult for DOGE to sustain buying momentum. Historically, prolonged periods of negative sentiment have resulted in lower network participation.

If this trend persists, Dogecoin may struggle to recover in the short term, keeping price action constrained under key resistance levels.  

Dogecoin Weighted Sentiment
Dogecoin Weighted Sentiment. Source: Santiment

The broader market outlook for Dogecoin suggests a potential buying opportunity, as indicated by the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. Currently sitting at -23%, the metric is below the historical opportunity zone, which ranges between -9% and -21%. In past cycles, DOGE has rebounded from these levels.  

Investors seeking to accumulate at lower prices could take advantage of current conditions, potentially driving DOGE’s price higher. If accumulation increases, the meme coin may experience a gradual recovery.

Dogecoin MVRV Ratio.
Dogecoin MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

DOGE Price Prediction: Breaching Barriers

Dogecoin is trading at $0.248, marking a 25% crash over the past week. If the bearish pressure continues, the price could drop further toward $0.220, extending recent losses.

The ability to maintain support at this level will be crucial in determining whether DOGE can stabilize.  

The current market signals remain mixed, suggesting that DOGE may consolidate between $0.220 and $0.268. Without a breakout, price movement could remain stagnant within this range. 

Dogecoin Price Analysis.
Dogecoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

For Dogecoin to regain lost ground, it must breach the $0.268 resistance level. Successfully flipping this barrier into support would open the door for a rally toward $0.311.

If achieved, this move would invalidate the bearish outlook and help DOGE recover a portion of its recent losses.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Aaryamann Shrivastava
Aaryamann Shrivastava is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including Telegram Apps, liquid staking, Layer 1s, meme coins, artificial intelligence (AI), metaverse, internet of things (IoT), Ethereum ecosystem, and Bitcoin. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at FXStreet and AMBCrypto, covering all aspects of the crypto industry, including...
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