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Bitcoin’s Brief Dip Below $100,000 Pushes Short-Term Holders into the Red

2 mins
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • Bitcoin briefly dipped below $100,000, pushing short-term holders to sell at a loss as STH-SOPR fell below 1 to 0.99.
  • Weighted sentiment for BTC is at -0.48, signaling a bearish investor outlook and waning confidence in its near-term performance.
  • If negative bias persists, BTC could drop to $99,378; however, sustained momentum may push it toward $109,356.
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Bitcoin’s price dipped below the $100,000 mark during Monday’s intraday trading session. While the leading coin’s price has since rebounded to trade at $102,691 at press time, its short-term holders (STHs) still feel the sting of the temporary price drop.

On-chain data reveals that this cohort of BTC holders continues to sell at a loss. 

Bitcoin Short-Term Holders Count Their Losses

According to data from CryptoQuant, the Spent Output Profit Ratio (SOPR) for Bitcoin’s STHs has trailed downward over the past week. As the coin’s price broke below the $100,000 mark yesterday, the metric’s value fell under 1. As of this writing, it is at 0.99.

The STH-SOPR gauges the profitability of the short-term holders of a particular crypto asset. It generally offers insights into whether investors who have held a specific asset for three to six months are in a profitable or unprofitable position. 

If the STH-SOPR is above 1, it indicates that short-term holders are, on average, selling their coins at a profit. Conversely, if the STH-SOPR is below 1, it suggests that these holders are selling at a loss.

Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR
Bitcoin Short-Term Holder SOPR. Source: CryptoQuant

At 0.99 as of this writing, BTC’s STH-SOPR suggests that investors who have held their coins for less than six months are, on average, selling at a loss below their acquisition basis. 

Although BTC’s price has rebounded from Monday’s low, a negative bias continues to trail the king coin. This is evidenced by its negative weighted sentiment, currently at -0.48. 

An asset’s weighted sentiment measures its overall positive or negative bias. It tracks the volume of social media mentions and the sentiment expressed in those mentions. 

Bitcoin Weighted Sentiment
Bitcoin Weighted Sentiment. Source: Santiment

As with BTC, a negative value is a bearish signal. It indicates that investors have become increasingly skeptical about the token’s near-term outlook, causing them to trade less.

BTC Price Prediction: Will It Reclaim $109K or Slip Below $100K?

BTC’s price will shed its recent gains if this negative bias strengthens and trading momentum wanes. It could drop below $100,000 to trade at $99,378 in that case.

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, if the uptrend is sustained and market sentiment improves, the coin could attempt to reclaim its all-time high of $109,356.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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