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Cardano’s 27% Surge Brings 32 Billion Coins into Profit Zone

1 min
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • Cardano's ADA has surged 27% in the past week, pushing 88.4% of its circulating supply into profit.
  • Profit-taking risks emerge as many holders may sell to lock in gains, triggering potential downward pressure.
  • ADA's MVRV ratio of 76.2% signals overvaluation, with the potential for a price correction if profit-taking accelerates.
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Cardano’s ADA has surged by 27% in the past week, pushing a significant portion of its circulating supply into profit.

However, this could threaten ADA’s uptrend, as holders may be tempted to sell and secure their gains.

Cardano’s Supply in Profit Spikes

Cardano’s double-digit rally over the past week has pushed a substantial portion of the coin’s circulating supply into the profit area. At current market prices, investors hold 32 billion ADA coins worth $31 billion in profit, accounting for 88.40% of ADA’s circulating supply.

For context, at the beginning of the month, only 40% of all ADA coins in circulation were held in profit. However, while this represents bullish momentum in the coin’s market, it has risks. When a significant portion of an asset’s supply moves into profit, it can trigger profit-taking behavior as holders sell to lock in gains. 

ADA Total Supply in Profit
ADA Total Supply in Profit. Source: Santiment

An assessment of ADA’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio confirms this risk. According to Santiment’s data, ADA’s current MVRV ratio is 76.20%.

This MVRV ratio suggests that ADA is overvalued, as its market value is significantly higher than its realized value. Therefore, if all coin holders were to sell, they would, on average, realize 76.20% profit. 

ADA MVRV Ratio
ADA MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

ADA Price Prediction: A Decline to $0.79 or Rally Above $1?

At press time, ADA trades at $0.98, sitting above support at $0.93. If profit-taking activity commences, the coin’s price will attempt to test this support level. If it fails to hold, the downward trend receives confirmation, and ADA dips further to $0.79.

ADA Price Analysis.
ADA Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if market participants refrain from profit-taking, this may propel ADA’s price above $1 to trade at $1.15, a level it last reached in April 2022.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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