XRP (XRP) traders are piling into leverage even as the token struggles below $1.20. Binance’s estimated leverage ratio just hit its highest level since the start of 2026, signaling rising risk appetite in a fragile market.
The leverage surge arrives while on-chain activity flatlines, and the weekly chart flashes bearish signals. That combination leaves XRP balanced between a speculative bounce and a deeper breakdown.
Leverage on Binance Climbs to a 2026 Peak
Binance’s estimated leverage ratio for XRP climbed to roughly 0.1899, according to CryptoQuant. That marks its highest reading since the start of 2026.
The metric had churned between 0.15 and 0.18 for months. Its recent breakout shows traders leaning harder on borrowed positions.
The jump coincided with XRP recovering toward $1.24 before easing back. That timing links the leverage build to a fresh wave of speculative bets.
Rising leverage often reflects growing confidence in a short-term uptrend. However, it also leaves the market exposed to sharp liquidation cascades in either direction.
XRP leverage had recently hit a yearly low, a sharp reset from its 2025 extremes. A move back below 0.15 would suggest traders are trimming risk again. Until then, derivatives activity is outpacing spot demand.
Social Buzz Spikes While Network Activity Stalls
The leverage story suggests heightened interest. On-chain data complicates that read.
XRP social volume jumped sharply at the end of May and into early June, according to Santiment. The spike ranked among the largest prints of the past six months.
Active addresses told a different story. The metric held a steady band over the past two months, sitting near 28,300 at the latest reading.
Talk about XRP is rising faster than actual network use. Such divergences often mark sentiment-driven moves rather than organic demand, echoing a recent forecast that warned of a possible bear trap.
XRP Price Prediction Hinges on the $1.17 Support
The weekly chart frames the stakes. XRP trades near $1.20 after falling from its July 2025 record of $3.65.
The token has gained about 6% over the past week. That move gives bulls a short-term cushion, yet it sits roughly 45% below year-ago levels.
Price has been rejected at a descending trendline three times (red arrows). A fourth rejection now looks possible as XRP presses against that resistance.
XRP also broke down from a symmetrical triangle. That pattern projects a long-term target near $0.73, well below current levels.
For now, bulls are defending the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement at about $1.17. That zone marks the last major support before the bearish target.
The relative strength index (RSI) sits near 34, below its own descending trendline. The indicator has stalled at that line twice without breaking through.
A weekly RSI move above that trendline would offer the first real sign of a reversal. A clean reclaim of the broken price trendline would invalidate the downside prediction.
A loss of $1.17 would instead open the path toward $0.73. The next weekly close should show whether XRP defends its floor or confirms the breakdown.
Bitrue