The crypto market trades at $2.84 trillion, down 0.31% since yesterday’s close, as fresh money keeps slowing.
Fund buying has shrunk for three straight days, and crypto’s cash pool is still refilling.
1. ETF Buying Shrank for Three Straight Days
Spot Bitcoin ETFs took in $998.95 million on September 21, the day the Bitcoin breakout began. Each session since has brought less, with $714.75 million on September 22, $346.98 million on September 23 and $190.65 million on September 24.
That is an 81% drop in three sessions. The funds are still buying, but at a fraction of the pace, ahead of August inflation data on September 30. That report includes a measurement change that economists expect to pull inflation lower.
- September 21: $999 million, the peak day
- September 24: $191 million, 81% lower
- Next test: August inflation data on September 30, explain the caution
2. Crypto’s Cash Pool Is Still Below Its Peak
Stablecoins are the digital dollars traders hold before buying crypto. Their supply stands at $312.30 billion, still $8.60 billion below the May 17 peak, according to DefiLlama. It fell to $305.20 billion by August 3 and has won back less than half of that drop.
Supply did grow 0.9% this week, the fastest weekly rise since early May. Yet, with thin weekend trading ahead, buyers have less cash to absorb any selling.
The market needs to hold $2.79 trillion, the base of its latest swing. Holding there keeps a path open to $2.89 trillion, the first sign of strength, and then $2.95 trillion, where the rally stalled on September 23.
- Stablecoin supply: $312.3 billion, $8.6 billion short of May
- Weekly change: up 0.9%, best since early May
- Weekend ahead: thinner trading, less cushion
Coin Spotlight: Bitway (BTW)
Bitway (BTW) fell about 14% over 24 hours to near $0.92, a day after setting a record high near $1.09. Yesterday’s market update flagged that its rally ran on fading volume, and the pullback followed.
The chart could still form a bull flag, a pause after a sharp run that often resolves higher. The climb since August 8 is the pole. But buying volume has faded since late August, and a flag needs buyers to break out. Selling volume is also light, which helps the $0.894 floor hold.
- Drop: about 14% in a day, after a record high
- Breakout trigger: daily close above $0.97, about 5% away, on rising volume
- Floors: $0.89, then $0.76, with $0.56 as the possible pattern invalidation line
Analyst’s View: Fund buying is still positive but shrinking every session. A daily close above $2.89 trillion before the September 30 inflation data would show buyers returning, while losing $2.79 trillion opens room for a deeper drop.
