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When Will Bitcoin Finish this Consolidation Phase?

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Smith
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In Brief

  • Bitcoin is facing resistance from the 50-day MA and the $9,250 level.
  • The price is following a long-term descending resistance line.
  • Bitcoin is possibly trading inside a descending wedge.
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On July 15, the Bitcoin (BTC) price fell below an important moving average (MA) and $9,250 level, which has previously acted as both support and resistance.
The price managed to slow the bleeding and even made another attempt at moving upwards. However, it has yet to reclaim either the MA or the previous support area.

Bitcoin Treads Dangerous Waters

The Bitcoin price is trading below the 50-day MA and the $9,250 level. As long as this is the case, the bias is considered bearish. This is also evident by the fact that the price has been making lower highs since breaking over $10,000 at the beginning of June. However, BTC is possibly following an ascending support line since the beginning of May. Although its slope is not entirely clear due to numerous long wicks, the line is estimated to offer support around $8,950. If the price breaks down from this line, the next closest support level is found between $8,600 and $8,700.
BTC Daily Resistance
BTC Chart by Trading View
The weekly chart also shows that BTC has also been following a descending resistance line beginning from its all-time high in December 2017, and is currently trading slightly below it. As long as the price is closing below this resistance, the long-term trend is considered bearish.
BTC Weekly Resistance
BTC Chart by Trading View

Short-Term Movement

The two-hour chart shows that BTC is possibly trading inside a descending wedge, and has been doing so since reaching a local high on July 9. At the time of writing, the price was trading right on the resistance line of this wedge. The current price has fallen under the 200-hour MA and the $9,180 horizontal area, which has intermittently acted as support and resistance over the past week. Furthermore, the descending resistance line and 200-hour MA are almost intersecting. A breakout from the wedge would likely mean that the price will be able to reclaim the $9,250 area. On the other hand, a decrease from the aforementioned support area could take the price towards the support line of the wedge, which also coincides with the previously mentioned long-term ascending support line. Therefore, it would be more likely for BTC to be rejected at the current resistance and decrease towards support before making another breakout attempt. To conclude, the Bitcoin price is trading below an important resistance area and moving average. After a short-term decrease, BTC is expected to make another attempt at reclaiming them. For our previous analysis, click here.
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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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