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Toncoin (TON) Struggles to Stay Afloat as $4 Target Looms

2 mins
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • Toncoin (TON) dropped from $6 to $5.40, facing resistance at $5.68 and potential further declines below $5.
  • A death cross on the chart signals a bearish trend, with increased realized losses adding to market pessimism.
  • TON could fall to $4.89 or $4.63, unless bulls push the price above $5.68, potentially rallying toward $6.69.
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On September 28, Toncoin (TON) price retested $6 for the first time in over a month. However, the altcoin could not hold on to the threshold for long as the price dropped to $5.40

Despite recent efforts to recover, TON’s price continues to face challenges. Here are the key levels to watch as this analysis highlights why a further downturn is likely.

Toncoin Chart Forms Death Cross

According to the daily chart, Toncoin’s price is attempting to erase some losses. However, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) suggests that it could be challenging. The EMA uses current price movement to evaluate bullish or bearish trends.

When the EMA is above the price, the trend is bearish. Conversely, if the price is above the EMA, the trend is bullish. With TON’s price at $5.40, the image below shows that the 20 EMA (blue) and 50 EMA (yellow) are above the Telegram-native coin price.

Particularly, the 50 EMA had crossed above the 20 EMA. This position referred to as a death cross, indicated that the trend around Toncoin is bearish, and the price might fall below $5 soon.

Read more: 6 Best Toncoin (TON) Wallets in 2024

Toncoin Daily Price Analysis
Toncoin Daily Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Following the recent decline, on-chain data revealed a surge in Toncoin’s realized losses. Yesterday, holders incurred losses on 788,000 tokens.

When there is a high level of unrealized losses, it suggests that investors are losing confidence in a rebound. As a result, the lack of buying pressure could prevent the token from recovering its lost value. If this trend persists, TON’s price may continue to fall.

Toncoin holders realized losses
Toncoin Daily Transaction Volume in Loss. Source: Santiment

TON Price Prediction: Bears Are In Control

On looking at the daily chart, BeInCrypto observed that TON has fallen below the $5.41 support. This decline implies that bulls might no longer be able to defend the token from going below $5.

Furthermore, resistance at $5.68 could make a Toncoin rebound difficult. Therefore, the cryptocurrency’s likely movement will be another decline. Considering the bearish technical setup, TON’s price could drop to $4.89.

Read more: Top 7 Telegram Tap-to-Earn Games to Play in 2024

Toncoin Daily Price Analysis
Toncoin Daily Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

In a highly bearish scenario, the altcoin could decline to $4.63. However, if bulls can break the $5.68 resistance, this prediction will not come to pass. Instead, Toncoin’s price might hit $6.69 and possibly $7.29 in a highly bullish situation

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Victor Olanrewaju
Victor Olanrewaju is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he monitors the activities of mid- and large-scale investors, commonly known as crypto whales, to detect investment trends across diverse cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, altcoins such as Solana, XRP, Cardano, and Toncoin, as well as meme coins like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe. Additionally, he covers emerging trends including Tap-to-Earn games, AI tokens, and real-world assets (RWA). Before joining BeInCrypto...
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