See More

This 2019 Bitcoin Fractal Predicts a Further 50% Price Increase

2 mins
Updated by Kyle Baird
Join our Trading Community on Telegram

In Brief

  • The Bitcoin price is possibly following a fractal from May 2019.
  • The fractal suggests that the price will break out to $9,800, before decreasing towards $9,000 once more.
  • Technical indicators in both movements are eerily similar.
  • promo

On April 30, the Bitcoin (BTC) price reached a high of $9,460. The price has not crossed higher since. but the movement preceding the high shares several similarities with the price action in May 2019.
In May 2019 Bitcoin pumped hard and eventually hit a 2019 high of $13,000 in June. The price has not been able to cross above this threshold since. These similarities were outlined by well-known trader @inmortalcrypto, who tweeted a Bitcoin price chart that shows the current price movement compared to that of May 2019.
Source: Twitter
Inmortal suggests that the price will follow a similar path, by first moving above the April 30 high of $9,460, and eventually increasing above $10,000. In this analysis, we will compare the price movements in these two periods in order to determine if BTC is likely to take the path outlined in the tweet.

Bitcoin Rally Side-By-Side Comparison

Both movements are shown in the chart below — 2020 on top compared to the same time frame in 2019 below. The first thing that stands out is the difference in the magnitude of the initial decrease. While the price decreased by almost 12% from the April 30 high in 2020, it did so by 28% in 2019. If we keep the same ratio, the price is likely to break out and reach $9,800 before consolidating and decreasing below the $9,400 line once more.
Bitcoin Fractal
Bitcoin Chart By Trading View

Individual Comparison

The initial high reached on May 13, 2019, was preceded by a very significant upward movement in which the price increased by 103% in 42 days. The high was reached inside a significant resistance area, and the RSI was extremely overbought. Additionally, there was significant overhead resistance. Despite these bearish signs, the price proceeded to increase by a further 51% in 46 days, reaching a high of $13,764. In order to measure this increase, we have used the closing prices instead of the wick high, since there was a considerable difference in price between the two, and BTC did not come close to reaching the wick high again.
Bitcoin 2019 Movement
Bitcoin Chart By Trading View
When looking at the preceding movement, Bitcoin’s current price action is very similar to that in May 2019. The April 30, 2020 high was preceded by an 87% increase across 47 days, a very similar rate to that in May 2019. In addition, the high was reached inside a significant resistance area and was combined with an overbought value in the RSI. Interestingly, the price is trading directly beneath the long-term resistance line which was created with the previously mentioned wick high in July 2019. If the rest of the fractal is followed, and BTC increases by a further 50% over the next 46 days, it will reach a high of around $13,600 in June 2020.
Bitcoin Current Movement
Bitcoin Chart By Trading View
To conclude, there are several similarities between the current price movement and that of May 2019. In order for the fractal to remain valid, BTC has to break towards $9,800 soon. If the fractal is followed in its entirety, the price could reach a high of $13,600 in June.
Top crypto projects in the US | April 2024



In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)