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The Bitcoin Dominance Rate Approaches Crucial Support – Does A Reversal Await?

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Smith
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In Brief

  • The Bitcoin dominance rate is trading inside a descending wedge.
  • There is long-term support at 62.5%
  • The price has been following a long-term resistance line since February 2019.
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The Bitcoin dominance rate (BTCD) is trading inside a bullish pattern, close to a significant support area. While an upward move should follow, the long-term trend remains bearish unless BTCD manages to break out above 65%.

Possible Reversal

The BTCD has been trading inside a descending wedge since reaching a high of 68.92% on May 7. The descending wedge is a bullish reversal pattern, so an eventual breakout should occur. At the time of writing, the price was trading right at the support line of this pattern, which is very close to the 62.5% support area that halted the previous decline in February 2020. There is also bullish divergence developing on the daily RSI, which increases the possibility of a price rise. Considering that the price is trading near a significant support area, a support line, as well as bullish RSI divergence, the next move will likely be in the direction of the resistance line of the wedge. It could also break out upwards.
BTCD Movement
BTCD Chart By Tradingview
Cryptocurrency trader @Walter_Wyckoff tweeted a Bitcoin dominance chart, outlining a descending wedge. He believes that the rate will soon break out, causing massive declines in the alt/btc pairs. This is a shorter-term wedge that fits with the longer-term one we discussed, so it further increases the chances of an upward move taking place.
BTCD
Source: Twitter

Long-Term Resistance

Despite the possibility of a short/medium-term upward move, the weekly chart shows that the underlying trend is still bearish. The price has been following a descending resistance line since February 2019 and is currently significantly below it. In addition, the rate is trading below all three of the 50, 100, and 200-week moving averages (MA), which are likely to provide resistance against any attempts to move higher. Finally, the RSI is considerably below 50 and no bullish divergence has yet developed.
BTCD Long-Term Resistance
BTCD Chart By Tradingview

Relationship to Bitcoin

The price of Bitcoin (blue) is shown alongside BTCD in the image below. While there is no clear long-term relationship between the two, you can see that during rapid movements in one or the other direction, the relationship between the two becomes negative. This means that a rapid BTC increase has caused a decrease in BTCD and vice-versa. If this relationship holds, then the BTC price would need to decline for the BTCD price to increase.
BTCD Relationship
BTCD Chart By Tradingview
To conclude, the BTCD is likely to begin a short-term upward move. However, the long-term trend remains bearish.
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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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