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Solana Under Pressure: How Declining Demand Could Trigger a Plunge Below $120

2 mins
Updated by Ann Maria Shibu
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In Brief

  • Solana’s TVL has dropped to $6.69 billion, marking its lowest point since January amid weak network engagement.
  • The daily transaction count on Solana has decreased by 18%, signaling a decline in user activity and investor interest.
  • SOL's price continues to fall, with the token down 35% over the past month, facing potential further losses if trends persist.
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Solana’s network activity has sharply declined in recent weeks. This has resulted in a significant drop in its total value locked (TVL), which has now fallen to its lowest level since the beginning of the year. 

The downturn in network engagement has also impacted the demand for SOL, whose price continues to tumble to new lows. 

Solana’s User Activity Plummets 35% as Network Engagement Weakens

In the past month, the daily count of addresses that have completed at least one transaction on the Solana network has dropped by 35%. According to Artemis, over the past 30 days, only 4.08 million addresses have visited the Layer-1 network.

Solana Daily Active Address.
Solana Daily Active Address. Source: Artemis

When a network sees a drop in daily active addresses, user engagement is reduced. This signals weakening network adoption, declining investor interest, and a shift of users to competing blockchains.

Moreover, this trend results in lower transaction activity, as observed with Solana. Per Artemis, during the period in review, the daily transaction count on the network has reduced by 18%. 

Solana Daily Transaction Count
Solana Daily Transaction Count. Source: Artemis

As network participation drops, Solana’s ecosystem feels pressure, with liquidity drying up across its decentralized finance (DeFi) protocols. This is reflected by the steady drop in the network’s total value locked (TVL). At press time, Solana’s TVL stands at $6.69 billion, its lowest since the beginning of the year. 

Solana TVL
Solana TVL. Source: DefiLlama

A drop in a network’s TVL highlights low investor confidence as users choose to withdraw their funds from the DeFi protocols housed within the blockchain. This trend reduces the network’s available liquidity and puts downward pressure on its native token. 

Weakening Demand Threatens Drop Below $120

The demand for SOL is weakening, leaving it vulnerable to further declines if network activity fails to rebound. At press time, the altcoin trades at $124.86, having shed 35% of its value in the past 30 days.

On the daily chart, SOL’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in a downward trend at 36.91, confirming the low demand. When this momentum indicator falls below 50, selling activity outweighs buying pressure among market participants.

If selloffs persist, SOL would extend its decline and could fall to the key support floor formed at $120.72. If this level fails to hold, the coin’s price could plunge toward $108.43.

Solana Price Analysis
Solana Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, a bullish shift in market sentiment could send the coin’s price to $136.62.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a Technical and On-Chain Analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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