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Solana’s (SOL) Rally Above $200 May Hold Despite Exchange Inflows Surge

2 mins
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • Solana surged past $200, driven by high demand despite large inflows to Kraken by Pump.fun.
  • SOL broke a descending channel and its 20-day EMA, signaling a bullish trend reversal.
  • A bullish MACD pattern hints at potential resistance breaks at $219.31, with an eye on its $264.63 ATH.
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Solana’s price broke the $200 psychological barrier during intraday trading on January 2. Amid this extended rally, the Pump.fun platform has been moving substantial volumes of SOL tokens to Kraken.

Despite exchange inflows generally signaling bearish sentiment due to potential selling pressure, the bullish momentum in Solana’s rally remains strong, resisting these typical trends.

Solana Sees Renewed Bullish Momentum After Major Deposits 

Pump.fun executed two significant deposits to Kraken on January 1, according to Solscan data. The first transfer, valued at $22.8 million in SOL, occurred at 4:37 PM UTC, followed by a second deposit of $32.7 million at 5:45 PM. Additionally, on-chain data reveals that on January 2, the Solana-based platform designed for the easy creation and trading of memecoins, deposited 63,171 SOL ($13.11 million) into Kraken.

Generally, a surge in an asset’s exchange inflows is a bearish sign and often a precursor to a price decline. However, SOL has seen a spike in demand to absorb this spike in supply. Hence, since January 1, its price has maintained an upward trend. 

In fact, during the trading session on January 2, SOL broke above a descending parallel channel, which it had traded within since November 23. This channel comprises two downward-sloping parallel trendlines formed when an asset’s price is in a downtrend. 

Solana Descending Parallel Channel
Solana Descending Parallel Channel. Source: TradingView

When an asset’s price breaks above the channel’s upper boundary, it signals a potential reversal to bullish momentum, suggesting the asset may experience upward price movement.

Moreover, SOL’s price has broken above its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), confirming the uptick in demand for the altcoin. The 20-day EMA measures an asset’s average price over the past 20 trading days. It gives more weight to recent prices, making it more sensitive to recent price movements than a simple moving average. 

Solana 20-Day EMA
Solana 20-Day EMA. Source: TradingView

When an asset’s price surpasses the 20-day EMA, it indicates a shift toward bullish momentum, pointing to a potential uptrend as market sentiment turns increasingly positive.

SOL Price Prediction: Altcoin Could Break All-Time High

On the daily chart, readings from SOL’s Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) indicator support this bullish outlook. At press time, the coin’s MACD line (blue) rests above its signal line (orange). For context, this bullish crossover occurred on January 1, when Pump.fun began depositing coins to Kraken.

When an asset’s MACD indicator is set up this way, it indicates bullish momentum. This means that the asset’s price may continue to rise as the short-term price action is stronger than the longer-term trend.

Solana Price Analysis.
Solana Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If this holds, SOL’s price could break above resistance at $219.31 and reclaim its all-time high of $264.63. Conversely, a spike in selloffs will invalidate this bullish outlook, stalling the Solana price rally. In that case, SOL’s price may drop to $189.24.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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