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Solana Faces Capitulation with RSI Under 30: Will SOL Stage a Recovery Soon?

2 mins
Updated by Ann Maria Shibu
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In Brief

  • SOL is deeply oversold, with its RSI dropping below 30 for the first time since June 2023, signaling a potential rebound.
  • Market sentiment is at its lowest in over a year, hinting at capitulation, which often precedes a price recovery.
  • Key support at $136.62 is holding, and if buying pressure returns, SOL could surge toward $182.31 and potentially $222.14.
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Solana has seen a significant wave of profit-taking since reaching its all-time high of $295.83 on January 19. This has driven its price to multi-month lows, with the coin currently trading at levels last seen in October. 

However, on-chain data and key technical indicators suggest a recovery could be on the way.

Solana Hits Capitulation Phase—What’s Next for SOL?

An assessment of the SOL/USD one-day chart shows that the coin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped below the 30 level for the first time since June 2023. This means that SOL has become extremely oversold, indicating that selling pressure may be exhausted and a price correction could be underway. 

SOL RSI.
SOL RSI. Source: TradingView

When an asset’s RSI falls below 30, it is deemed oversold. This often signals a potential reversal or price rebound as traders seek buying opportunities at price lows. Historically, such oversold conditions have preceded sharp rebounds.

Hence, SOL might be primed for a rally if market participants interpret this as a buy signal and increase their coin accumulation.

Another indicator of a potential short-term rebound in SOL’s price is its poor market sentiment. In a post on X, popular crypto analyst Miles Deutscher states that the altcoin is experiencing extreme bearish sentiment, the worst it has been in over a year since it first regained the $100 price level.

Solana Sentiment and Mindshare.
Solana Sentiment and Mindshare. Source: Miles Deutscher/X

According to Deutscher, “after being a top performer for so long,” SOL is “finally having its capitulation moment.” Capitulation refers to a phase where investors, exhausted by prolonged losses, begin to sell off their holdings in panic or frustration, often marking a market bottom.

This is because once the “paper hands” sell out, the selling pressure in the SOL market eases up, paving the way for a rebound if buyers interested in acquiring the coin at low prices step in. 

SOL Hovers Near Key Support—Will Bulls Push It to $200?

SOL trades at $141.67 at press time, resting slightly above the support level of $136.62. If the altcoin witnesses a resurgence in buying pressure, this support level will strengthen, propelling SOL’s price toward $182.31, where a major resistance lies. 

A successful breach of this level could send the coin’s price above $200 to exchange hands at $222.14. 

SOL Price Analysis
SOL Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if the downtrend continues, SOL’s price could fall to $120.72. 

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a Technical and On-Chain Analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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