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HBAR Nears 3-Month Breakout — But Liquidity Outflows Could Spoil It

07 October 2025 22:00 UTC
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  • HBAR trades at $0.224, nearing the key $0.230 breakout level, but weak investor confidence and liquidity withdrawals threaten momentum.
  • RSI remains bullish above 50.0, yet the Chaikin Money Flow dipping below zero signals capital outflows and cautious market participation.
  • A breakout above $0.230 could push HBAR to $0.242, while rejection risks a drop to $0.219 or $0.205, invalidating bullish potential.
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HBAR’s recent rally has placed the altcoin within striking distance of breaking out from a critical three-month pattern. Despite the market’s bullish momentum, investor behavior may hinder its progress. 

While the broader crypto market shows renewed optimism, HBAR holders appear hesitant, creating a disconnect between sentiment and price action.

Hedera Investors Are Losing Confidence

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for HBAR is climbing steadily, reentering the bullish zone above the neutral 50.0 mark. This shift signals renewed buying interest and improving technical strength. As market-wide sentiment turns positive, indicators suggest that HBAR could soon regain upward momentum if sustained demand persists.

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The improving macro environment is also aiding HBAR’s short-term outlook. With Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies posting fresh gains, overall market conditions have strengthened considerably.

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HBAR RSI
HBAR RSI. Source: TradingView

However, not all signs point to an easy rally. The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF), a key measure of capital inflow and outflow, recently dipped below the zero line, marking a monthly low. This decline reveals that investors are withdrawing liquidity from HBAR, signaling uncertainty around its ability to sustain a breakout.

The weakening CMF highlights an imbalance between growing market optimism and cautious investor participation. While bullish sentiment dominates much of the crypto market, HBAR’s holders remain wary of potential short-term reversals.

HBAR CMF
HBAR CMF. Source: TradingView

HBAR Price May Not Breakout

HBAR is trading at $0.224, sitting just below the crucial $0.230 resistance level — the breakout point from its descending wedge pattern that has persisted for three months. A decisive move above this level could trigger renewed bullish momentum.

Historically, HBAR has struggled to break free from this setup, and a failed attempt could push prices lower. If rejection occurs, the token might slip toward $0.219 or $0.213, with further downside potential to $0.205.

HBAR Price Analysis.
HBAR Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, if broader market strength outweighs investor skepticism, HBAR price could breach $0.230 and confirm a breakout. This move could propel the price toward $0.242, invalidating the bearish outlook and marking the start of a new bullish phase.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.