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Will Ethereum Drop Below Support? (ETH/USD & EUR Price Analysis: April 26)

3 mins
Updated by Valdrin Tahiri
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At BeInCrypto, we offer regular price analyses and predictions of the most popular and relevant cryptoassets. In our Apr 24 analysis of Ethereum (ETH) we predicted that the price of Ethereum would decrease. Our prediction was validated on Apr 26 when the price reached the support area we defined. To learn more read our latest ETH/USD($) and ETH/EUR(€) analysis below:

On Apr 8, 2019, the price of Ethereum (ETH) made a high of $187.98 & €167.32. A sharp drop followed. Lows of $156.42 & €138.36 were reached on Apr 15.
The price began to increase, reaching highs close to $180 and €160 on Apr 23. A sharp decrease followed with lows close to $150 and €135 reached on Apr 26. How long will the price of Ethereum keep falling? Let’s find out:

Ethereum (ETH): Trends and Highlights for April 26, 2019

  • The price of Ethereum has been on a downtrend since Apr 8.
  • It is trading inside a descending channel.
  • The moving averages have made a bearish cross.
  • There is support near $120 and €105.

Descending Channel

In this section, we define Ethereum’s current trading pattern by analyzing the price of ETH/USD on Bitfinex at two-hour intervals from Apr 8 to Apr 26. In order not to create confusion, we will not be using images of the ETH/EUR pair until the summary, where the relevant resistance and support areas will be shown in euros and dollars.
On Apr 8, Ethereum reached an hourly high of $187.78. A sharp decrease was followed by a gradual increase. The price has made several lower highs. Tracing these highs gives us a descending resistance line: Descending Resistance Line On Apr 6, the price reached a low of $161.71. Several market cycles have been completed and the price has subsequently created lower lows in the process. Tracing these lows gives us a descending support line. The support and resistance lines combine to create a descending channel: Ethereum Descending Channel Lows on Apr 26 brought price below the support line. However, prices almost immediately rebounded inside the channel. It is likely that the price will trade inside the confines of the channel until a decisive move occurs. To predict the direction of the move, we need to take a look at a longer time-frame combined with technical indicators.

Technical Indicators

The price of ETH is analyzed at one-day intervals from Feb 10 to Apr 26 alongside the 10- and 20-day moving averages (MA).
Moving averages are tools used in technical analysis to smooth out price action. It is a lagging indicator since it is based on past prices. The relationship between short and long-term moving averages can help in identifying the beginning and end of a trend.
Price since Feb 10 has been trading within an upward facing channel. The descending channel that began on Apr 8 is within this longer-term trading pattern. In the graph below, both trading patterns are traces with 10- and 20-day MAs: Moving Averages On Apr 23, the 10-day MA crossed below the 20-day MA. This is known as a bearish cross and often indicates that a downtrend has begun. Using these indicators, it is likely that the price will decrease at the rate predicted by the descending channel. Eventually, it should reach the support line of the longer-term ascending channel. This is projected to occur around the beginning of May. 

Reversal Areas

To determine possible price levels following a decrease, we continue with an analysis of support areas.
Support areas are created when the price revisits the same level several times. They indicate the levels price might reach in the future based on past patterns.
They are shown for ETH/USD and ETH/EUR below:
Support Areas
ETH/USD
Reversal Areas
ETH/EUR
The closest support area is found near $120 and €105. If the price breaks down from the channel, it is likely to reach this area. We do not believe this is likely in the short-term.

Summary of Analysis

Based on this analysis, the price of ETH is likely to decrease towards the support line of the channel. A breakdown is unlikely but possible. To read 2019 and 2020 Ethereum price predictions, click on the green button below:

Do you think ETH will reach the support line?  Let us know your thoughts in the comments below. Disclaimer: This article is not trading advice and should not be construed as such. Always consult a trained financial professional before investing in cryptocurrencies, as the market is particularly volatile.
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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Valdrin Tahiri
Valdrin discovered cryptocurrencies while he was getting his MSc in Financial Markets from the Barcelona School of Economics. Shortly after graduating, he began writing for several different cryptocurrency related websites as a freelancer before eventually taking on the role of BeInCrypto's Senior Analyst. (I do not have a discord and will not contact you first there. Beware of scammers)
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