Dogwifhat (WIF) Open Interest Reaches 3-Month Low Amid Bearish Sentiment

2 mins
Updated by Ryan Boltman
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In Brief

  • WIF's Open Interest, a key metric indicating capital deployment in the derivatives market, has dropped to its lowest since April 30.
  • The decline suggests negative sentiment among traders making it challenging for WIF to maintain its upward movement.
  • The meme coin has yet to switch the death cross to a golden one, indicating that the token could slide to $2.47.
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Dogwifhat’s (WIF) price has been approaching $3 for the last few days. Still, the meme coin did not reach this point despite being the highest gainer in the market the previous week. 

However, not every part of WIF is seeing an increase. As a result, it could become more challenging for the token to retest $3. Here is how.

The Meme Coin Continues to Face Headwinds

One reason WIF reached an all-time high of $4.85 in March is its Open Interest (OI). In simple terms, OI refers to the sum of the value of contracts opened in the market.

An increase in Open Interest indicates increased capital deployed in the derivatives market. When this happens, net positioning increases as traders aim to profit from bets on predictions. However, a decrease indicates that traders are closing their positions and removing liquidity from the market.

Usually, when OI increases alongside price, it offers strength to the upward direction. But if this does not happen, it becomes difficult for the upswing to continue. 

Read More: What Is Dogwifhat (WIF)?

WIF Open Interest falls
WIF Open Interest. Source: Santiment

As shown above, WIF’s Open Interest is $122.37 million. This is the lowest point it has reached in almost three months—specifically, since April 30.

If this lingers, WIF’s price may struggle to keep rising. Another indicator that has refrained the meme coin from rising past $3 is connected to the Weighted Sentiment.

As the name implies, Weighted Sentiment measures the average perception market participants have about a cryptocurrency. If it is positive, it means the broader market is bullish, and demand will easily push the price higher.

WIF Weighted Sentiment
WIF Weighted Sentiment. Source: Santiment

But for dogwifhat, the sentiment is negative, indicating that the acumen around the meme coin is gloomy. If sustained, demand could be low, and the price could stall around a region or decline.

WIF Price Prediction: Recent Uptrend Begins to Fade

On the daily chart, WIF formed a death cross on June 10, and by June 14, the price had fallen by almost 50%. For context, a death cross occurs when the longer EMA crosses the shorter EMA.

EMA stands for Exponential Moving Average, and it uses price changes to spot trend direction. In WIF’s case, the 20 EMA (blue) slipped below the 50 EMA (yellow) around the mentioned period.

But an 84.22% increase since July 12 ensures that dogwifhat has been able to erase the losses. Since dropping from $2.83 to $2.76, WIF is losing the bullish momentum it had earlier.

This is indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI). Previously, the RSI closed at 70.00, but it reversed to 65.87, indicating that buyer strength is weakening. Should this remain the case, the price of WIF could drop to $2.47.

Read More: How To Buy Dogwifhat (WIF) and Everything Else To Know

WIF Price Analysis
WIF Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, the bearish prediction could be invalidated if the 20 EMA  crosses above the 50 EMA. This is because a golden cross pattern (bullish trend) where the shorter EMA rises above the longer EMA will have appeared.

If that happens, WIF’s price could return to $2.78, and in a highly bullish condition, the value could rise to $3.09.

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Victor Olanrewaju
Victor Olanrewaju is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he monitors the activities of mid- and large-scale investors, commonly known as crypto whales, to detect investment trends across diverse cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, altcoins such as Solana, XRP, Cardano, and Toncoin, as well as meme coins like Dogecoin, Shiba Inu, and Pepe. Additionally, he covers emerging trends including Tap-to-Earn games, AI tokens, and real-world assets (RWA). Before joining BeInCrypto,...
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