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Dogecoin Price Prediction: One Issue May Delay DOGE Rally

2 mins
Updated by Daria Krasnova
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In Brief

  • Dogecoin's MFI has risen, but its price remains stagnant within a horizontal channel.
  • Falling whale activity and coin distribution hinder DOGE’s potential breakout above $0.11.
  • DOGE price may drop to $0.08 if support at $0.10 fails to hold against selling pressure.
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Dogecoin’s (DOGE) price has remained muted despite an increase in coin accumulation, as shown by its rising Money Flow Index (MFI).

The leading meme coin continues to trade within a horizontal channel, indicating that the buying pressure may not yet be strong enough to trigger a breakout.

Dogecoin Demand Needs More Momentum

DOGE’s MFI, which measures the flow of money into and out of the asset, has been in an uptrend over the past few days. Generally, a rising MFI signals a spike in the demand for an asset.

However, DOGE’s sideways movement over the past few weeks suggests that this demand has not been strong. This makes the rally past the upper line of the horizontal channel, which forms resistance at $0.11, challenging.

dogecoin horizontal channel and mfi
Dogecoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Falling whale activity supports this outlook. On-chain data reveals a gradual drop in the daily count of whale transactions valued above $100,000 and $1 million.

Moreover, DOGE’s large holders’ netflow has plummeted by over 112% over the past month, signaling a high volume of coin distribution among investors that hold at least 0.1% of the coin’s circulating supply. 

Read more: How To Buy Dogecoin (DOGE) and Everything You Need To Know

dogecoin large holders' netflow
Dogecoin Large Holders’ Netflow. Source: IntoTheBlock

DOGE Price Prediction: A 14% Price Decline Is Possible

With low whale activity, DOGE’s attempt to rally past the resistance level may be hard. A failed test of this level will cause the meme coin’s price to trend toward support at $0.10.

If the bulls fail to defend this critical level, the downtrend will continue, and DOGE’s value may plunge by an additional 14% to trade at its August 5 low of $0.08.

Read more: 10 Best Altcoin Exchanges In 2024

Dogecoin Daily Analysis.
Dogecoin Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if demand strengthens, the coin will successfully rally past resistance and target the three-month price high of $0.15. 

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Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.

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Abiodun Oladokun
Abiodun Oladokun is a technical and on-chain analyst at BeInCrypto, where he specializes in market reports on cryptocurrencies from diverse sectors, including decentralized finance (DeFi), real-world assets (RWA), artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), Layer 2s, and meme coins. Previously, he conducted market analysis and technical assessments of various altcoins at AMBCrypto, utilizing on-chain analytics platforms like Messari, Santiment...
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