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Crucial Week for Bitcoin: Will Fed’s Decision Cause BTC to Skyrocket?

2 mins
Updated by Geraint Price
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In Brief

  • This week's Federal Reserve decision on interest rates, labor market data, and financial results could impact the Bitcoin price.
  • Despite a 3.5% fall in the S&P 500 in October, Bitcoin (BTC) performed well. The investors speculate if it continues the growth trajectory.
  • Bitcoin's price could become volatile if the Fed's decision on Wednesday is unexpected; Friday's employment report is also key.
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This is one of the most important weeks for Bitcoin (BTC).  On Wednesday, the Federal Reserve (Fed) will decide on interest rates. We will also learn important data about the American labor market. And the next season of financial results will also begin. 

Despite massive increases in US Treasury yields and geopolitical uncertainty putting pressure on stock markets, Bitcoin performed remarkably well.

October Was Positive for Bitcoin Price

The Bitcoin (BTC) price reached a close of $34,525 last week, its highest weekly close in 550 days. With the approval of a Bitcoin Exchange-Traded Fund (ETF) seeming increasingly likely, its impact on the future price cannot be overstated.

The same can’t be said for the S&P 500, which fell 3.5 percent in October. Compared to the peak in 2023 achieved in July, the decline is as much as 10%.

The answer to the question whether Bitcoin can continue this growth also depends to some extent on the yield of US treasury bonds.

The yield on 10-year US treasury bonds rose above 5% last week for the first time in 17 years. Strong data from the US labor market on Friday may result in further increases.

Read more: How To Buy Bitcoin (BTC) and Everything You Need To Know

Will Markets See Another Increase in Interest Rates?

On Wednesday, after the meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), the US central bank will present their decision on interest rates, and the market estimates a virtually 100% chance that we will not receive another increase.

Target rate probabilities. FOMC meeting.
Target rate probabilities for Nov. 1 FOMC meeting. Source: CME Group

Last week, it was revealed that the US economy grew 4.9% in the third quarter of 2023. This is a sign that the US labor market is still strong and that we may have to deal with higher interest rates for a long time.

This isn’t necessarily good for Bitcoin, but it might get offset by approval of BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF.

So, this week, the focus should be on Wednesday. If the Fed makes a different decision than expected on Wednesday, the price of Bitcoin could become highly volatile. Additionally, it is worth paying attention to Friday’s employment report.

Read more: 9 Best Bitcoin Exchanges and Platforms in 2023

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Harsh Notariya
Harsh Notariya is an Editorial Standards Lead at BeInCrypto, who also writes about various topics, including decentralized physical infrastructure networks (DePIN), tokenization, crypto airdrops, decentralized finance (DeFi), meme coins, and altcoins. Before joining BeInCrypto, he was a community consultant at Totality Corp, specializing in the metaverse and non-fungible tokens (NFTs). Additionally, Harsh was a blockchain content writer and researcher at Financial Funda, where he created...
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