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Crypto Twitter Bitcoin Bulls Questioned Over Statistics

1 min
Updated by Kyle Baird
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In Brief

  • Bitcoin bulls on Twitter have been called out for using statistics unreliably.
  • Bitcoin has outperformed gold since its inception, but the statistics function differently in the short term.
  • Bitcoin has outperformed other assets since the beginning of the year, but followed them closely during the crisis.
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Bitcoin as an asset class has had a good history, according to some Bitcoin bulls on a recent Twitter post. However, others suggest that the post skewed figures unfairly in Bitcoin’s favor.
Thus far in 2020, Bitcoin has outperformed a number of other asset classes amid the COVID-19 crisis. Anthony Pompliano (@APompliano) published figures based on year-to-date returns. The figures seem to indicate that Bitcoin has risen in price steadily since the beginning of the year, providing hedge protection against the crisis. However, some comments on the tweet reveal that Bitcoin actually followed the other markets closely. Tracking the price of Bitcoin from the start of the crisis, rather than the start of the year, appears to show that Bitcoin fell and rose along with other assets. Bitcoin has outperformed gold since its beginning just over ten years ago. According to Twitter user Willy Woo (@woonomic), $1 invested in Bitcoin at its inception would be worth $12.8 million. On the other hand, $1 in gold in the same time period would be worth just $1.66. The statistics were critiqued in the replies as well. For example, evaluating an asset that has been in existence just ten years against the lifetime value of a precious metal provides complications. What’s more, the analysis of Bitcoin and gold over the past two years would have a very different outcome. Some comments indicated that the statistics would show the opposite trend. Both the 2020 figures and the gold comparison are objectively true. Nevertheless, the statistics can be formulated in both positive and negative ways.
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With a background in science and writing, Jon's cryptophile days started in 2011 when he first heard about Bitcoin. Since then he's been learning, investing, and writing about cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology for some of the biggest publications and ICOs in the industry. After a brief stint in India, he and his family live in southern CA.
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